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Author Topic: Artificial Intelligence killing the whole industry  (Read 63895 times)

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« Reply #325 on: January 03, 2023, 10:51 »
0



I'll try to make this easier for you to understand. Everyone doesn't own or drive a car. And they are doing just fine. Some people can't afford a car and they are also doing just fine. Plenty of people, that is. They never transitioned into what replaced the horse and buggy.
.

not that it really matters, but

https://edc.nyc/article/new-yorkers-and-their-cars

San Francisco is very car free also. https://sf.streetsblog.org/2014/08/15/car-free-households-are-booming-in-san-francisco/

How do the majority of people who made income from microstock in 2012 do ten years later?


Justanotherphotographer

« Reply #326 on: January 03, 2023, 10:53 »
0
...
By saying Plenty of People, you would seem to mean most people...


You thought I believed most people who have tried/ are doing microstock are successful at it? Lol

Youve been here long enough to know there are almost no professionals who do this full time left on this forum. Much fewer than there used to be. Honestly I am not surprised. So I am not particularly bothered by what the chart says (even if it does seem to show SS and AS making more in 2019 than in 2013 so wheres the We're going into over ten years of decline?).

My weekly rank has moved very little on Adobestock over the last 10 years. I keep making more overall each year so I have to assume there are the same number of people doing better than me (all those ranked above me). The specific faces may have changed but the total number of people doing well seems to be similar.
« Last Edit: January 03, 2023, 10:56 by Justanotherphotographer »

Justanotherphotographer

« Reply #327 on: January 03, 2023, 10:58 »
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How do the majority of people who made income from microstock in 2012 do ten years later?

Made me curious. About 55% up rolling 12 month total for November 2012 vs November 2022

« Reply #328 on: January 03, 2023, 13:52 »
0

How do the majority of people who made income from microstock in 2012 do ten years later?

Made me curious. About 55% up rolling 12 month total for November 2012 vs November 2022
Do not forget that the dollar inflates. What was the inflation rate in 10 years? Here, downvote it.

« Reply #329 on: January 03, 2023, 14:00 »
+1

How do the majority of people who made income from microstock in 2012 do ten years later?



down about 10% since 2012, but next 5 years increased over 2012 by 50%

SpaceStockFootage

  • Space, Sci-Fi and Astronomy Related Stock Footage

« Reply #330 on: January 03, 2023, 14:10 »
+1

How do the majority of people who made income from microstock in 2012 do ten years later?

Made me curious. About 55% up rolling 12 month total for November 2012 vs November 2022
Do not forget that the dollar inflates. What was the inflation rate in 10 years? Here, downvote it.

An average of just under 2.5% a year. You know there's no downvote feature, right?

Justanotherphotographer

« Reply #331 on: January 03, 2023, 15:04 »
0

Do not forget that the dollar inflates. What was the inflation rate in 10 years? Here, downvote it.

There are calculators all over the interent but I went ahead and did it for you. Something over 20% increase adjusted. Of course the last year has been crazy for inflation compared to previous years.

ADH

« Reply #332 on: January 03, 2023, 15:47 »
+2
In 10 years the microstock business as we know it will not exist, 90% of the regular clients of the agencies will stop buying subscriptions and will generate their own images using artificial intelligence programs. What is going to happen in the future is that little by little the sales of microstock will disappear and many people will give up and dedicate themselves to something else. One after another the agencies will disappear or declare bankruptcy.

Justanotherphotographer

« Reply #333 on: January 04, 2023, 03:45 »
+1
In 10 years the microstock business as we know it will not exist, 90% of the regular clients of the agencies will stop buying subscriptions and will generate their own images using artificial intelligence programs. What is going to happen in the future is that little by little the sales of microstock will disappear and many people will give up and dedicate themselves to something else. One after another the agencies will disappear or declare bankruptcy.
I think ten years is optimistic

« Reply #334 on: January 04, 2023, 04:01 »
+1
... to keep the point, my last post: Food for thought
https://luisafumi-digitalart.com/blog/2022/12/20/food-for-thought/



... and more to come

« Reply #335 on: January 04, 2023, 12:02 »
+2
https://www.freepik.com/author/dembaxx here's a portfolio made entirely with AI tools. Far down to the oldest "creations", the images look like crap. But the newer ones are increasingly better. Have a look at the captions and keywords, for a good laugh.

« Reply #336 on: January 04, 2023, 13:58 »
0
In 10 years the microstock business as we know it will not exist, 90% of the regular clients of the agencies will stop buying subscriptions and will generate their own images using artificial intelligence programs. What is going to happen in the future is that little by little the sales of microstock will disappear and many people will give up and dedicate themselves to something else. One after another the agencies will disappear or declare bankruptcy.
I think ten years is optimistic

or wishful thinking - the agencies are adapting to new technologies, while many here are whinging rather than exploring how they can move with the times - again - dancing with elephants

« Reply #337 on: January 04, 2023, 14:03 »
0
... to keep the point, my last post: Food for thought
https://luisafumi-digitalart.com/blog/2022/12/20/food-for-thought/



... and more to come

intriguing post! a great series of blogs about future of AI at https://www.cold-takes.com/most-important-century/

Uncle Pete

  • Great Place by a Great Lake - My Home Port
« Reply #338 on: January 04, 2023, 17:48 »
+1
...
By saying Plenty of People, you would seem to mean most people...


You thought I believed most people who have tried/ are doing microstock are successful at it? Lol

Youve been here long enough to know there are almost no professionals who do this full time left on this forum. Much fewer than there used to be. Honestly I am not surprised. So I am not particularly bothered by what the chart says (even if it does seem to show SS and AS making more in 2019 than in 2013 so wheres the We're going into over ten years of decline?).

My weekly rank has moved very little on Adobestock over the last 10 years. I keep making more overall each year so I have to assume there are the same number of people doing better than me (all those ranked above me). The specific faces may have changed but the total number of people doing well seems to be similar.

Maybe I misunderstood your position. Yes, people who are busy making money and working, don't spend a lot of time on the forum. I'm a perfect example of that. Obviously, a hobbyist.

While I appreciate your correct humor, I'll say, most people who work hard and are smart and pay attention to the market and do high quality work, are successful. It's not easy money.

I did something by accident and my Adobe rank keeps climbing, nearly every week. Not the weekly, I don't care, but my Lifetime. Some kind of minor miracle. Of course when I started back, when Adobe bought them, that means I was pretty much living at the bottom of the cesspool, and there was nowhere to go but up?

WILM got me interested in watching that, I never did until the last few months. It moves up 500 every now and then, so the whole lifetime is in tiers. I'm probably just passing people who stopped uploading in 2012?  ;D

« Reply #339 on: January 05, 2023, 18:44 »
0
What is the image size and resolution like on some of these AI generators? I one better than the other when it comes to that? DALLE vs Midjourney vs ??

Uncle Pete

  • Great Place by a Great Lake - My Home Port
« Reply #340 on: January 06, 2023, 14:06 »
0
What is the image size and resolution like on some of these AI generators? I one better than the other when it comes to that? DALLE vs Midjourney vs ??

No experience with Midjourney I'm not sure how to get in or do anything, so I just took a pass. Maybe someone can share the details?

DALL-E2 1024 x 1024 PNG with a little color sample bar in the lower right. I don't know if it's just me, but the lines in illustrations are not sharp and will get "quality" rejections at most places. People who know more than I do, say, 4x with Topaz Gigapixel AI or some other Topaz, edit and reduce to Microstock size.

I believe them, but I'm not spending $?? or full price $99.99 to make AI images that will sell for fractions of a dollar. If I thought I could get 400 DLs in a year from AI (1,000 on SSTK) images, I could justify that? 👍

« Reply #341 on: January 06, 2023, 21:33 »
+1
What is the image size and resolution like on some of these AI generators? I one better than the other when it comes to that? DALLE vs Midjourney vs ??

Hi, you got plenty more AI generators but in my opinion the 3 Big at the moment are Dalle, Midjourney and stable diffusion. Also there's a buzz about Playground Ai but i never tried. I am currently using Midjourney subscription and free SD 2.1. via Github/colab.

In terms of Size/ resolution:

1) Dalle- 1024x1024

2) Midjourney v4 : upscale 1024X1024, beta scale 2048x2048 but you loose detail in 2nd
(you can improve detail directly in Prompt using arguments like ultra detail, super detailed, Photorealistic, etc... and request best quality which costs 2 times more)

3a)"Outdated" Disco diffusion / Stable Diffusion 1.5 : 1668x768 with colab pro+
3b)Stable diffusion 2.1 : 768x 768 or 1280x720 (sometimes errors in 2nd)
For both you can increase detail and sharp changing some parameters (example: 25 steps basic, 350 steps more detail, also you consume more power and time)

Note: After... you can upscale with AI tools but you got better results depending the type of image if it is photo realistic, cartoons/anime, 3d render etc...Sometimes it's better to combine 2/3 AI upscale tools but this depends really on the image itself and of course trial error process.
« Last Edit: January 06, 2023, 21:44 by Evaristo tenscadisto »


« Reply #342 on: January 07, 2023, 10:35 »
0
One AI I had not heard about before, Lexica art, built on stable diffusion and returning high end images, check the pricing though. You can begin to understand the 'game changing' talk about this new technology.

https://lexica.art/

« Reply #343 on: January 07, 2023, 10:58 »
0
One AI I had not heard about before, Lexica art, built on stable diffusion and returning high end images, check the pricing though. You can begin to understand the 'game changing' talk about this new technology.

https://lexica.art/

Thanks for sharing that, I had not heard about this one as well. Seeing how fast AIs improve  I have been feeling a bit depressed about my microstock future lately, thinking I'd be jobless sooner than I had thought, but this is actually making me feel a bit more optimistic again that it might still take a while till I will be completely replaceable. As always I have been checking my direct competition and the results you get when searching for example for "French Bulldog" are a huge contrast to the amazing images this site shows you on the first page.
 


Not all of the results are as bizzare, but at least among the photorealistic results, none really looks right.
Eventually AI will get there and I will be out of an income, but with any luck I still have some time.

« Last Edit: January 07, 2023, 13:12 by Firn »

« Reply #344 on: January 07, 2023, 12:16 »
+1
Tony Northrup says AI will eventually replace 95% of stock photography. 

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=8VRbt8GufeY

I think he's half right.  Editorial will remain and video will endure.  When the technology is perfected synthesized photo realistic images will work for many users.  AI replacing cameras is much like drum machines replacing drums.   Cameras and drums will live on.. but making money with them will get harder.   


« Reply #345 on: January 07, 2023, 14:37 »
0
Tony Northrup says AI will eventually replace 95% of stock photography. 

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=8VRbt8GufeY...

income from existing portfolios will continue - SS would need almost 4 BILLION AI images to form 95% of their offering (assuming zero new images sent in)

the biggest factor will be how many abandon stock altogether, which should remain small for some time

« Reply #346 on: January 07, 2023, 23:35 »
+2
Finn,

I only use lexica to find themes and some useful guides to my prompts that i like. I think Stable Diffusion can be more powerful with trained models or with image references.

I agree, eventually AI will get there... but it has been quite a speed race. I am using my memory here so it may not be precise but in 2022 we had:

-Disco diffusion v3, v4; Stable Diffusion 1.1,1.2,1.3,1.4,1.5,2 and 2.1;
-Midjourney v2,v3,v4a,v4b

I just tried with a simple text prompt of "french bulldog sit in XVII century Throne" and use some technical arguments without image reference (see images). Probably i could tune a little better but the result is ok for at least showing concept to a client before photo shooting. AI is still struggling to learn the teeth, feet and hands since there's still lack of knowledge of anatomy and right positions of any animal.

To be honest i don't know how much time AI will need but it's getting better everyday since it learns concepts, styles and references 24/7.
« Last Edit: January 07, 2023, 23:46 by Evaristo tenscadisto »

« Reply #347 on: January 08, 2023, 02:46 »
+1
Finn,

I only use lexica to find themes and some useful guides to my prompts that i like. I think Stable Diffusion can be more powerful with trained models or with image references.

I agree, eventually AI will get there... but it has been quite a speed race. I am using my memory here so it may not be precise but in 2022 we had:

-Disco diffusion v3, v4; Stable Diffusion 1.1,1.2,1.3,1.4,1.5,2 and 2.1;
-Midjourney v2,v3,v4a,v4b

I just tried with a simple text prompt of "french bulldog sit in XVII century Throne" and use some technical arguments without image reference (see images). Probably i could tune a little better but the result is ok for at least showing concept to a client before photo shooting. AI is still struggling to learn the teeth, feet and hands since there's still lack of knowledge of anatomy and right positions of any animal.

To be honest i don't know how much time AI will need but it's getting better everyday since it learns concepts, styles and references 24/7.

Yes, these look great, but they look like paintings to me, not like real photos, which was what I was talking about (sorry if I didn't get that across correctly. It was what I meant by "photorealistic", but maybe I used the wrong word). In regards of paintings AI is - sadly - already kicking ass. I feel so sorry for painting artists, even though I know as a photographer I will be in the same boat soon. I have seen some mind blowing AI generated French Bulldog paintings on Adobe. But when it comes to photos it's still struggling, at least for now.

« Reply #348 on: January 09, 2023, 07:34 »
0



I'll try to make this easier for you to understand. Everyone doesn't own or drive a car. And they are doing just fine. Some people can't afford a car and they are also doing just fine. Plenty of people, that is. They never transitioned into what replaced the horse and buggy.
.

not that it really matters, but

https://edc.nyc/article/new-yorkers-and-their-cars

San Francisco is very car free also. https://sf.streetsblog.org/2014/08/15/car-free-households-are-booming-in-san-francisco/

How do the majority of people who made income from microstock in 2012 do ten years later?

70% drop in income from what I made in 2012.

« Reply #349 on: January 09, 2023, 11:12 »
+1
So who is allowing AI Generated art submissions? I think Adobe Stock and Dreamtime are. Others?


 

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