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Author Topic: How to end the "Caps" debate: share your data.  (Read 23469 times)

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dpimborough

« Reply #100 on: February 22, 2018, 04:16 »
+2
A longer time

That looks a lot like a cumulative revenue chart so it will increase over time.

I have one just like that but it tells nothing about revenue caps.

Are more interesting chart would be a monthly revenue chart i.e. how much earned each month.

Here you are.

Well that looks capped to me the monthly revenue is flat so thanks for the proof :D


SpaceStockFootage

  • Space, Sci-Fi and Astronomy Related Stock Footage

« Reply #101 on: February 22, 2018, 04:27 »
+1
The main question for me is... if there is a cap, why is everyone's different? Surely the general level of sales that somebody gets based on the number of items they have, the quality of those items, how much commercial appeal there is in those items, how much the person markets them and how well they title, describe and keyword them... is what sets the 'cap'?

And how would one identify the difference between that kind of cap, and one that is enforced by the agency?

namussi

« Reply #102 on: February 22, 2018, 04:41 »
0
A longer time

That looks a lot like a cumulative revenue chart so it will increase over time.

I have one just like that but it tells nothing about revenue caps.

Are more interesting chart would be a monthly revenue chart i.e. how much earned each month.

Here you are.

Well that looks capped to me the monthly revenue is flat so thanks for the proof :D

You really think that shows a cap? You mean I'm wrong?

« Reply #103 on: February 22, 2018, 04:46 »
0
The main question for me is... if there is a cap, why is everyone's different? Surely the general level of sales that somebody gets based on the number of items they have, the quality of those items, how much commercial appeal there is in those items, how much the person markets them and how well they title, describe and keyword them... is what sets the 'cap'?

And how would one identify the difference between that kind of cap, and one that is enforced by the agency?
If there were a cap you would expect to see less variation so every month close to $1k or whatever it happens to be. Unless the figure is exactly $1k then it becomes a matter of opinion if its natural variability or a result of manipulation. The discussion will never end.........(it seems some also think its a cap on rate of growth but same principle).

derek

    This user is banned.
« Reply #104 on: February 22, 2018, 05:19 »
0
The main question for me is... if there is a cap, why is everyone's different? Surely the general level of sales that somebody gets based on the number of items they have, the quality of those items, how much commercial appeal there is in those items, how much the person markets them and how well they title, describe and keyword them... is what sets the 'cap'?

And how would one identify the difference between that kind of cap, and one that is enforced by the agency?

Listen to Hatman! in a previous post, thats the way it works. Its not like a cap for each individual that Pawsy69 is ref to and its not like a lid on a marmelade-jar. Its different orchestrations of the algorithms that in the end will deteriorate many peoples incomes. In many geographical searches many peoples ports are not even included. A chinese buyer of lets say office-workers will have very little interest in lets say African workers obviously they like to see chinese workers and vice versa!

« Reply #105 on: February 22, 2018, 05:27 »
+4
At the start of this if someone had said do agencies change algorithms which boost sales of some contributors and reduce them for others? I doubt there would be much disagreement.

SpaceStockFootage

  • Space, Sci-Fi and Astronomy Related Stock Footage

« Reply #106 on: February 22, 2018, 05:35 »
+5
Well if Chinese buyers prefer to buy images of Chinese workers... then surely it's the contributors fault for not having photos of Chinese workers in their port? Changing the algorithm may mean the Chinese buyer is less likely to see those African worker images, but as you say... would they buy them even if they were near the top of the list?

That's not a cap... that's effectively marketing to your buyers and making sure you're presenting them with relevant results.

derek

    This user is banned.
« Reply #107 on: February 22, 2018, 09:03 »
0
Well if Chinese buyers prefer to buy images of Chinese workers... then surely it's the contributors fault for not having photos of Chinese workers in their port? Changing the algorithm may mean the Chinese buyer is less likely to see those African worker images, but as you say... would they buy them even if they were near the top of the list?

That's not a cap... that's effectively marketing to your buyers and making sure you're presenting them with relevant results.

Correct clever marketing! only the different algorithms do hurt many peoples earnings. Cap as such?? no not the kind of cap that some here are talking about and for each and every contributor that would be impossible and of course highly ethically questionable.
There was one agency trying for something like that some years back, they got done but re-surfaced under a different name!

Shelma1

  • stockcoalition.org
« Reply #108 on: February 22, 2018, 09:33 »
+3
A longer time

This proves absolutely nothing. Any of us could show a chart from our first few years and it would show steady growth. Nobody's debating seeing growth up to a certain point.

SpaceStockFootage

  • Space, Sci-Fi and Astronomy Related Stock Footage

« Reply #109 on: February 22, 2018, 09:39 »
+1
I have an amazing idea. It may not settle the cap argument once and for all, but it might come close... one way or the other. Just need to do the math and run the numbers, but I'm mildly excited.

niktol

« Reply #110 on: February 22, 2018, 11:37 »
+1
I have an amazing idea. It may not settle the cap argument once and for all, but it might come close... one way or the other. Just need to do the math and run the numbers, but I'm mildly excited.

Please don't. I hate knowledge.

« Reply #111 on: February 22, 2018, 11:47 »
0
C'mon then.

Show us your spreadsheets. Show us your graphs. Show us your workings.

I can't because there are no caps. Show me proof of Nessie, the Bermuda Triangle, Vampires, shape shifting birds, or a yeti. You can't because just like caps, they are a children's fairy tale or belief based on repeated false evidence. There's no proof and that's why believers defend so much. They toss out other myths to prove the first one, like new people are pushed to the front. But wait, I'm on the first page of a number of searches and have been for those same for a long time. I guess SS like me better.  :)

I think they read this forum and punish people who write bad things. So you better watch out, they're making a list and checking it twice, Gonna find out who's naughty or nice. SS caps are coming to town. Then they will change the search so only people here drop down and push horrible new cheap images to the front so buyers will say, SS has terrible photos, we need to go someplace else.

Just because somebody makes a claims and a small minority of believers agree and make the same claim, that don't make it proof. Just false rumors. The number of wrong people doesn't make evidence, it just means more people who have no sense.

Another failure of the (incomplete) "inductive logic" so dear to Namussi  ;)

Another turkey lost his head.  ;D

There is nothing wrong in promoting fresh content.
Actually, most probably, this is what many old SS customers, bored by the "same old, same old" are asking for.
« Last Edit: February 22, 2018, 11:50 by Zero Talent »

namussi

« Reply #112 on: February 22, 2018, 18:58 »
0
A longer time

This proves absolutely nothing. Any of us could show a chart from our first few years and it would show steady growth. Nobody's debating seeing growth up to a certain point.

Well, I've shared data. Now it's your turn....

JimP

« Reply #113 on: February 22, 2018, 22:14 »
+3
The main question for me is... if there is a cap, why is everyone's different? Surely the general level of sales that somebody gets based on the number of items they have, the quality of those items, how much commercial appeal there is in those items, how much the person markets them and how well they title, describe and keyword them... is what sets the 'cap'?

And how would one identify the difference between that kind of cap, and one that is enforced by the agency?

It's the wall, just another brick in the wall.

All in all you're just another brick in the wall
All in all you're just another brick in the wall

You built the system, you supported the crime, and now the system owns you, and that's the crime. The Micros own you. They are like a drug that took over your life, made you dependent and then stole your soul. Break the addiction, leave micro, stop the punishment and abuse, you are being a self exposed victim. You can leave, just go, don't you see, it's over now, not the same.


namussi

« Reply #114 on: February 23, 2018, 00:19 »
0
The main question for me is... if there is a cap, why is everyone's different? Surely the general level of sales that somebody gets based on the number of items they have, the quality of those items, how much commercial appeal there is in those items, how much the person markets them and how well they title, describe and keyword them... is what sets the 'cap'?

And how would one identify the difference between that kind of cap, and one that is enforced by the agency?

It's the wall, just another brick in the wall.

All in all you're just another brick in the wall
All in all you're just another brick in the wall

You built the system, you supported the crime, and now the system owns you, and that's the crime. The Micros own you. They are like a drug that took over your life, made you dependent and then stole your soul. Break the addiction, leave micro, stop the punishment and abuse, you are being a self exposed victim. You can leave, just go, don't you see, it's over now, not the same.

Ok, you go first.

« Reply #115 on: February 23, 2018, 15:42 »
+3
I think there is enough sensible people around, with sufficient sales data and longevity in the industry, not to completely ignore what they are saying about having their sales capped.

Whilst I have never subscribed to the capping theory (Why? How? Who to? Why would SS do it?) I think there may be another plausible explanation. I reached top tier back in 2014, and my sales kept going up and up until end of 2016, so I don't think its that. But something big happened to me in the beginning of 2017, a massive 50% drop in photo DLs, that has never really recovered. SS went from 50% of my total microstock sales, to around 30%, and if I hadnt started video before that, I would have suffered deeply. This also affected a number of other people I know who made good sales. They saw the same significant % drop as well.


This takes a while to explain, so please bear with me, and forgive the long post.

Now, this is the other possible explanation that I think of. SS is big on having very complex algorithms. They pride themselves on it, in fact. right? Also keeping in mind that one of the biggest problems that clients have is seeing the same images every time at the top of searches. This drives the buyers nuts and away. Even building in a function of time into their algorithm probably doesnt cut it.

Also keeping in mind that SS has some big buyers the very large advertising agencies or whatever,  that probably come in and buy up 10,000 photos or whatever for their needs. Now SS cant afford to lose these guys. So, what if they wrote another algorithm just for them. If it was my business, I certainly would. And what if, that algorithm included, if you have seen or purchased this image before dont show it! ?? And what about the consequences to all the contributors who have sold a hell of a lot of images in their past? How much of their port would automatically disappear from view from these big buyers?

We cant prove the individual capping theory because when we look our images are still there. But what if there are special algorithms for special big buyers??

So, my question is to others did you also notice a sudden drop at a particular time? And are there other people here who also experienced a significant drop in January 2017?  I have been racking my brains the past 12 months as to what happened. Where did the buyers go? Not noticeably to other agencies. So, I am very, very interested in what others say.  More contributors and more images being added to their database would not have resulted in such a big sudden drop, it would have been more gradual.

(To explain how much data I have to collect, I started Microstock in December 2012, now have 8,000 photos, and for the past 3 years have earned over $30,000, every year, from microstock. Also, I keep RPIs and stats on just about everything, and up until January 2017 they were always very predictable. I specialised in Holidays and Events, which makes it even more predictable.)

@Milleflore

I had a similar drop in sales some six month before your reported drop, and I know of many large port, long term contributors noticing the same phenomenon of sales dropping by 40-50% virtually overnight.  At the time, I sought answer on forums but was slapped down.  A number of contributors who had not been affected just told me I needed to work harder and study the market more, believing that the problem must be something I was doing wrong. It was very upsetting to be suddenly losing several hundred dollars per month, but also distressing to be reaching out to a community to share experiences, only to be told that the fault was mine and I needed to wake up and smell the coffee.

Those who have experienced this will be entirely sympathetic to your plight, and will also be looking for answers. Those who haven't yet found themselves in this position will be quietly - or maybe not so quietly - smug. It doesn't matter which camp you are in, as neither side will be able to give you answers. Those who have experienced a drop with be looking for reasonable theories to explain things, and those who are still riding high will shout those theories down.

I don't buy in to the 'cap' conspiracy theory per se, but I do believe that we are victims of arbitrary search changes and, once you start to lose ground in the rankings, it's a slippery slope to the bottom.

I'm also sure that Shutterstock employ a good team of behavioural psychologists to analyse not just buyer behaviour, but also to anticipate contributor behaviour. When your sales dropped what was your instinct - quit, or work harder to get back to where your were? Are you still contributing a year on? Do you set yourself deadlines of 'if this doesn't improve by month end I'll stop uploading', only to be thrown a large SOD just when you are ready to throw in the towel? Are you telling yourself that you need to diversify to grow, trying new media or searching for an elusive niche? Have you adjusted your monthly expectations down, and effectively accepted the new 'norm'?

Look at the behavioural science behind the forming of habits - it only takes about 21 days for an action to become a habit - and we will continue this habit while we are being rewarded, making it deep-seated and harder to break. Companies know how to hook us, and have changed their reward pattern from regular to random, which keeps us engaged and makes us crave reward. On the flip side, an as many of us know, breaking a habit is difficult, even if we know it's something really bad for us. Many of us have joked about the addictive nature of this business, and I think that's exactly the truth. I'm 10 years into this, so it's a big life-shift to give it all up.

We are nothing more than hopeful lab rats craving a reward, and we are totally at the mercy of these big corporations to throw out a treat. They can, and will, do what they like, because their advisers tell them that, in reality, 80% of the hardened contributors will moan but carry on working. For those they lose, there is a queue of newcomers stepping over each other to get in the door.
« Last Edit: February 23, 2018, 17:02 by KuriousKat »

derek

    This user is banned.
« Reply #116 on: February 23, 2018, 16:35 »
0
The overwhelming majority of stock -photographers are Bipolar and many of these are on the verge of Borderline. No its not a pretty business. I agree.


« Reply #117 on: February 23, 2018, 17:31 »
0
I don't buy in to the 'cap' conspiracy theory per se, but I do believe that we are victims of arbitrary search changes and, once you start to lose ground in the rankings, it's a slippery slope to the bottom.

I'm also sure that Shutterstock employ a good team of behavioural psychologists to analyse not just buyer behaviour, but also to anticipate contributor behaviour.

Arbitrary search changes are simply a natural jobs for agencies
They have to sell more images, simply.
They are working for you, for me or for anybody who is able to produce good images that sells.
There is nothing wrong in this.

I really doubt that Shutterstock or any other agency want to invest in hours and people psychologist team that analyse contributor thoughts....

Shutterstock, and others, are not "psychology". They have zillion of files and simpy want to have maximum earnings return, so they try different way. And it's exactly the same as contributors do (or should do).

if I own shutterstock, I would never think to spend money and time for a specialist psychologys team  ;-)
Believe me... more industry is big. less is worried about the base economy

They don't really care about YOU. They knows about entire world of contributors, and it's really diferent thing.
« Last Edit: February 23, 2018, 17:34 by derby »

« Reply #118 on: February 23, 2018, 17:51 »
0
I don't buy in to the 'cap' conspiracy theory per se, but I do believe that we are victims of arbitrary search changes and, once you start to lose ground in the rankings, it's a slippery slope to the bottom.

I'm also sure that Shutterstock employ a good team of behavioural psychologists to analyse not just buyer behaviour, but also to anticipate contributor behaviour.

Arbitrary search changes are simply a natural jobs for agencies
They have to sell more images, simply.
They are working for you, for me or for anybody who is able to produce good images that sells.
There is nothing wrong in this.

I really doubt that Shutterstock or any other agency want invest in hours and people psychologist team that analyse contributor thoughts....

Shutterstock, and others, are not "psychology". They have zillion of files and simpy want to have maximum earnings return, so they try different way. And it's exactly the same as contributors do.

if I own shutterstock, I would never think to spend money and time for a specialist psychologys team  ;-)
Believe me... more industry is big. less is worried about the base economy

They don't really care about YOU. They knows about entire world of contributors, and it's really diferent thing.

I think you misunderstand me, and assume I am criticising Shutterstock for their actions. I'm not - I'm merely stating things as I see it. I, and others, may see a negative impact from an algorithm change, but others will see a positive. This kind of shift actually backs up the random reward theory. It's very good for business from Shutterstock's perspective and keeps more contributors engaged for longer.

As for doubting whether Shutterstock, or any other large agency would invest in analysing contributor behaviour, I'd be very surprised if they didn't. It's common practice for companies to assess the productivity of their staff in this way and, as Shutterstock is totally reliant on their contributors to provide a steady flow of new, quality work, they are unlikely to leave things to chance and misjudge the mood of their suppliers.

I don't expect them to care about ME, I expect them to care about their business, which is what they are doing.

Milleflore

« Reply #119 on: February 23, 2018, 18:20 »
+1
I think there is enough sensible people around, with sufficient sales data and longevity in the industry, not to completely ignore what they are saying about having their sales capped.

Whilst I have never subscribed to the capping theory (Why? How? Who to? Why would SS do it?) I think there may be another plausible explanation. I reached top tier back in 2014, and my sales kept going up and up until end of 2016, so I don't think its that. But something big happened to me in the beginning of 2017, a massive 50% drop in photo DLs, that has never really recovered. SS went from 50% of my total microstock sales, to around 30%, and if I hadnt started video before that, I would have suffered deeply. This also affected a number of other people I know who made good sales. They saw the same significant % drop as well.


This takes a while to explain, so please bear with me, and forgive the long post.

Now, this is the other possible explanation that I think of. SS is big on having very complex algorithms. They pride themselves on it, in fact. right? Also keeping in mind that one of the biggest problems that clients have is seeing the same images every time at the top of searches. This drives the buyers nuts and away. Even building in a function of time into their algorithm probably doesnt cut it.

Also keeping in mind that SS has some big buyers the very large advertising agencies or whatever,  that probably come in and buy up 10,000 photos or whatever for their needs. Now SS cant afford to lose these guys. So, what if they wrote another algorithm just for them. If it was my business, I certainly would. And what if, that algorithm included, if you have seen or purchased this image before dont show it! ?? And what about the consequences to all the contributors who have sold a hell of a lot of images in their past? How much of their port would automatically disappear from view from these big buyers?

We cant prove the individual capping theory because when we look our images are still there. But what if there are special algorithms for special big buyers??

So, my question is to others did you also notice a sudden drop at a particular time? And are there other people here who also experienced a significant drop in January 2017?  I have been racking my brains the past 12 months as to what happened. Where did the buyers go? Not noticeably to other agencies. So, I am very, very interested in what others say.  More contributors and more images being added to their database would not have resulted in such a big sudden drop, it would have been more gradual.

(To explain how much data I have to collect, I started Microstock in December 2012, now have 8,000 photos, and for the past 3 years have earned over $30,000, every year, from microstock. Also, I keep RPIs and stats on just about everything, and up until January 2017 they were always very predictable. I specialised in Holidays and Events, which makes it even more predictable.)

@Milleflore

I had a similar drop in sales some six month before your reported drop, and I know of many large port, long term contributors noticing the same phenomenon of sales dropping by 40-50% virtually overnight.  At the time, I sought answer on forums but was slapped down.  A number of contributors who had not been affected just told me I needed to work harder and study the market more, believing that the problem must be something I was doing wrong. It was very upsetting to be suddenly losing several hundred dollars per month, but also distressing to be reaching out to a community to share experiences, only to be told that the fault was mine and I needed to wake up and smell the coffee.

Those who have experienced this will be entirely sympathetic to your plight, and will also be looking for answers. Those who haven't yet found themselves in this position will be quietly - or maybe not so quietly - smug. It doesn't matter which camp you are in, as neither side will be able to give you answers. Those who have experienced a drop with be looking for reasonable theories to explain things, and those who are still riding high will shout those theories down.

I don't buy in to the 'cap' conspiracy theory per se, but I do believe that we are victims of arbitrary search changes and, once you start to lose ground in the rankings, it's a slippery slope to the bottom.

I'm also sure that Shutterstock employ a good team of behavioural psychologists to analyse not just buyer behaviour, but also to anticipate contributor behaviour. When your sales dropped what was your instinct - quit, or work harder to get back to where your were? Are you still contributing a year on? Do you set yourself deadlines of 'if this doesn't improve by month end I'll stop uploading', only to be thrown a large SOD just when you are ready to throw in the towel? Are you telling yourself that you need to diversify to grow, trying new media or searching for an elusive niche? Have you adjusted your monthly expectations down, and effectively accepted the new 'norm'?

Look at the behavioural science behind the forming of habits - it only takes about 21 days for an action to become a habit - and we will continue this habit while we are being rewarded, making it deep-seated and harder to break. Companies know how to hook us, and have changed their reward pattern from regular to random, which keeps us engaged and makes us crave reward. On the flip side, an as many of us know, breaking a habit is difficult, even if we know it's something really bad for us. Many of us have joked about the addictive nature of this business, and I think that's exactly the truth. I'm 10 years into this, so it's a big life-shift to give it all up.

We are nothing more than hopeful lab rats craving a reward, and we are totally at the mercy of these big corporations to throw out a treat. They can, and will, do what they like, because their advisers tell them that, in reality, 80% of the hardened contributors will moan but carry on working. For those they lose, there is a queue of newcomers stepping over each other to get in the door.

Thank you for posting this, Kat! Excellent post.  I agree with you. And as for the behavioural psychology - I believe you. This is part of any research and marketing that large firms should do, anyway. Probably more for buying patterns - but who knows?

As for what I did, I stopped shooting specifically for photos last year. And now just focus on video. Any photos that I uploaded the last 12 months came from my video shoots. I figured, I might as well keep feeding the beast. LOL. But I spent less than 1/2 day per week on editing and uploading photos. I don't think it warrants any more of my time than that. But now I hope and pray that the same thing doesn't happen to video. So far, they have seemed to have left the algorithms alone for footage, and don't mess around with them like they do for stills.

But I did jokingly say to a friend the other day about the demise of photo sales ... "Maybe there is a shelf-life for all contributors, and the algorithms will get you in the end!" LOL (But maybe its not so much of a joke????

angelawaye

  • Eat, Sleep, Keyword. Repeat

« Reply #120 on: February 23, 2018, 19:04 »
+1
@KuriousKat

Sounds just like my story. It was a shock to have my sales plummet very quickly. I tried to upload more but it didn't help. I have given up after 11 years. I went out to an event yesterday and it was the first time I wasn't shooting like crazy for stock. I got an empty feeling for sure.

I still like to hang around the forums though. You guys are pretty fun :)


niktol

« Reply #121 on: February 23, 2018, 20:33 »
0

I'm also sure that Shutterstock employ a good team of behavioural psychologists to analyse not just buyer behaviour, but also to anticipate contributor behaviour.

That doesn't scare me. I am a tarot reader.

namussi

« Reply #122 on: February 23, 2018, 22:03 »
0
The overwhelming majority of stock -photographers are Bipolar and many of these are on the verge of Borderline. No its not a pretty business. I agree.

Show us the statistics that back that up.

derek

    This user is banned.
« Reply #123 on: February 24, 2018, 02:16 »
0
The overwhelming majority of stock -photographers are Bipolar and many of these are on the verge of Borderline. No its not a pretty business. I agree.

Show us the statistics that back that up.

I cant since there is a CAP on these conditions! ;D

derek

    This user is banned.
« Reply #124 on: February 24, 2018, 02:24 »
0
@KuriousKat

Sounds just like my story. It was a shock to have my sales plummet very quickly. I tried to upload more but it didn't help. I have given up after 11 years. I went out to an event yesterday and it was the first time I wasn't shooting like crazy for stock. I got an empty feeling for sure.

I still like to hang around the forums though. You guys are pretty fun :)

Thats sad to hear and I know the feeling. did trad stock for many, many years before micro even came on the scene in 2004 and from years of commissioned work I also have my own small trad library run in the trad way offline.

See this is what you want to do, to get the incentive back you have to go down two avenues one for micro and the other more in the traditional way now that way you can always alternate and spend time with the ones paying back and only work with agencies whos output can match your input and if they cant well then just get rid of them. Then theyre a waste of space. :)


 

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