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Author Topic: iStock is failing. What are you doing?  (Read 10212 times)

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« on: May 12, 2014, 15:54 »
0
I am seeing a lot of negative feelings/predictions/expectations for the future of iStock and this is from people that seem to have notable income from from them. My question is, what is 'Plan B' for you? Selling on your own? Run to other microstock providers? Give up?

-gl


Beppe Grillo

« Reply #1 on: May 13, 2014, 00:35 »
+6
I watch my monitor and I cry  :'(

But it does not help

___
You know about the story of "all the eggs in the same basket"?
Well I don't do that, I have many baskets with many eggs, so if I lose one it will not be a big loss

« Reply #2 on: May 13, 2014, 02:29 »
+9
I guess the future of microstock photography;
- For agencies, distributing low-res images for free (as Getty) and selling hi-res images for a dollar (as Fotolia does on DPC)
- For photographers, either to consent low royalties such as $0.20 - $0.30 or join forces as cooperation against 1Dollar agencies by trusting their content quality.

Dook

« Reply #3 on: May 13, 2014, 03:09 »
+8
I am seeing a lot of negative feelings/predictions/expectations for the future of iStock and this is from people that seem to have notable income from from them. My question is, what is 'Plan B' for you? Selling on your own? Run to other microstock providers? Give up?

-gl

If you are exclusive, run to other agencies, give up exclusivity. If you are not exclusive, just don't visit Istock, don't look the stats, cause that just ruins your day. Be active on agencies that make money for you, like SS.

« Reply #4 on: May 13, 2014, 20:14 »
+7
I've been watching lots of documentaries on debt. In one doco on debt they discussed a British civil servant called John Cowperthwaite and how he is credited with transforming Hong Kong by lowering taxes and trimming the size and intervention of government. The documentary implied that China whose people were starving to death after many years of communism looked to Hong Kong's strategies and started to implement them as their system was breaking down.

It makes me wonder if istock was to feed more income back to the producers they might find more quality production happening. If they could streamline their overheads and running costs and just skim a little off the top the site could turn around. People produce when they get a return for their effort. If effort is not rewarded they stop producing. If they are getting a good return they will be more likely to refer people to IS.

If like most companies they have debt and a complex structure of owners to satisfy then trimming the overheads will be impossible.
« Last Edit: May 13, 2014, 20:52 by goober »

« Reply #5 on: May 13, 2014, 23:43 »
+6
Getty has a revenue of around 800 million dollars a year. This includes everything, their microstock business, their macro business, their news business, rf and rm.

They also have around 2 billion dollars in debt, which they accumulated through being sold several times and owners paying themselves generous bonusses on a falling business or by letting the company finance it's own sale by taking on more debt.

And they still haven't reached their final destination because they are currently owned by a hedge fund who will be selling them again as well.

The Carlyle group keeps posting statements on how the getty business is doing so that investors can evaluate the risk of the Getty loans. You can find it all on the internet.

It would be great if new managers come in with really good ideas to grow the business again. Because Getty still has an excellent group of artists. I do believe it is possible to revive the business.

But as long as they keep demoralizing them, especially the exclusives, how will they turn their ship around?

At least today is 100% royalty day. I hope it brings the exclusives more income and istock a few new customers. But it is a drop of water after years of drought.

« Reply #6 on: May 14, 2014, 00:19 »
+2
Well said!
I guess Getty will bring back the old Canister level
Instead of the dead RC sustem to keep exclusives on board.

« Reply #7 on: May 14, 2014, 20:43 »
+4
Getty has a revenue of around 800 million dollars a year. This includes everything, their microstock business, their macro business, their news business, rf and rm.

They also have around 2 billion dollars in debt, which they accumulated through being sold several times and owners paying themselves generous bonusses on a falling business or by letting the company finance it's own sale by taking on more debt.

2 billion in debt means they have to squeeze the goose without killing it.

« Reply #8 on: May 14, 2014, 21:15 »
+5
$2.6 billion of rated debt affected
New York, October 31, 2013 -- Moody's Investors Service ("Moody's") downgraded Getty Images, Inc's ("Getty Images") Corporate Family Rating to B3 from B2 and Probability of Default Rating to B3-PD from B2-PD reflecting weakened credit metrics and our revised expectations for the company's operational performance over the next 12-18 months. Ratings on the 1st lien senior secured credit facilities were also downgraded to B2 from B1 and the 7% senior unsecured notes were downgraded to Caa2 from Caa1. The rating outlook is stable. These actions conclude Moody's review for a downgrade of ratings initiated on September 3, 2013.

Downgrades:

..Issuer: Getty Images, Inc.

.Corporate Family Rating: Downgraded to B3 from B2

.Probability of Default Rating: Downgraded to B3-PD from B2-PD

Issuer: Getty Images, Inc. and Abe Investment Holdings, Inc.

$150 million 1st Lien Sr Secured Revolver due 2017: Downgraded to B2, LGD3 - 38% from B1, LGD3 - 38%

$1.9 billion 1st Lien Sr Secured Term Loan due 2019: Downgraded to B2, LGD3 - 38% from B1, LGD3 - 38%

$550 million of 7.0% Senior Unsecured Notes due 2020: Downgraded to Caa2, LGD6 - 90% from Caa1, LGD6 - 90%


Overall debt is $2.6 billion.  As an istock and getty photographer I'm concerned about it, particularly as top line revenue isn't growing.  However, the largest part of the debt doesn't mature until 2019.  That's five years away and a lot can happen between now and then.
« Last Edit: May 14, 2014, 21:18 by hatman12 »

« Reply #9 on: May 15, 2014, 01:28 »
+2
Even worse than I remember. link to data from moodys

https://www.moodys.com/research/Moodys-downgrades-Getty-to-B3-from-B2-Outlook-is-Stable--PR_285298

How could they ever pay this back?

« Reply #10 on: May 15, 2014, 01:47 »
+5
Even worse than I remember. link to data from moodys

https://www.moodys.com/research/Moodys-downgrades-Getty-to-B3-from-B2-Outlook-is-Stable--PR_285298

How could they ever pay this back?

maybe "charging" a 200$ refund for each contributor

« Reply #11 on: May 15, 2014, 03:01 »
+4
It doesn't matter if they can't pay it back.  Look at the US National Debt - will they ever pay that back?  What matters is whether they can service the loan interest payments and remain net profitable.  One of the loans has a 7% coupon, so if we assume they are all at 7% the annual interest burden is about $182 million.  If I recall correctly the last time I saw any 'profit' numbers from Getty they were in the $300 million area (which is very high on a gross turnover of circa $800 million).  Anyway, you can see why Moodys downgraded the debt - annual interest of $182 million from profit of $300 million is more than 50%.  These numbers are just my guesses of course.

The real problem from the downgrade is that the debt can't be refinanced at the same rate.  It might have to be refinanced at junk rates of perhaps 8% or 9%.  Who knows?  And then the interest payments are higher and soak up a very high percentage of profit.

Still, as I said above, the major loan doesn't mature for another five years, and a lot can happen during that time.

« Reply #12 on: May 15, 2014, 03:04 »
+3
As was said in the forums back in 2010 after the huge cash-grab announcement, the irony was that the measures which were supposedly introduced to safeguard iStock's sustainability could actually be what makes the company unsustainable.

Arguably that's what's been happening.  The mass lowering of royalty rates for normal sales and ELs, slashing of Vetta royalties, the piles of uninspected ingested content at the front of searches, and all the myriad other things designed to increase profits, at the expense of their contributors' incomes.

To bean-counters who had no real interest in iStock, it probably looked fantastic for a while as the additional profits started came in.

But now iStock and Getty aren't looking like such good investments.  If only they'd been a little less greedy, perhaps they could still have a company that looks like it has a strong future.   Who knows, maybe there's still enough goodwill there to turn things around.  But they've certainly made it hard for themselves.

As things stand, it's not just the investors looking at their exit strategies, it's the remaining contributors too.

« Reply #13 on: May 15, 2014, 03:13 »
+8
Shutterstock was recently valued by the market at $3 billion or so.  That's a very high valuation of roughly 80PE, reflecting huge growth expectations.

The recent moves by Getty, notably introducing subs at iStock, seem intended on eventually convincing the markets that it, too, should command a very high rating.  Then, Carlyle can float the thing off, make a profit, and Getty repays its debts, leaving it clean again.  The 'embedding' program, pinterest links, subs etc, are all intended to change the perception of Getty from a utility supplier to a technology based growth business.  That way it will get double the valuation.

I see the strategy and agree its the right thing to do.

If you do a search at Getty you'll now see banners all over the place advertising subs at istock.  That's a big change from before and underlines Getty's determination to make istock subs a success.  Then they'll say to the market "hey - we're the same as Shutterstock, and we're worth high multiples too".

It would be nice if iStock fixed its search and all the other bugs, and actually invested enough money to make this strategy work.  Perhaps that's part of the plan and we'll see improvements in those areas soon.

« Reply #14 on: May 15, 2014, 04:28 »
+2
I don't think about iStock anymore I think about Thinkstock - As an indie the PP accounts for 60-70% of my earnings there which means iStock is not much more than an uploading portal.

« Reply #15 on: May 15, 2014, 05:40 »
+4
I don't think about iStock anymore I think about Thinkstock - As an indie the PP accounts for 60-70% of my earnings there which means iStock is not much more than an uploading portal.
Initially Getty created Thinkstock as subs site to compete with SS, but it looks like Thinkstock failed to do it.
With the introduction of subs at iStock I guess they will soon close the Thinkstock
and move the subs business back to iStock.

MxR

« Reply #16 on: May 15, 2014, 05:59 »
0
Yes, in Think exclusive begin winning 038- to 0,48?

In Istock 0,34 forever... LOW LOW LOW ever LOW

« Reply #17 on: May 15, 2014, 06:01 »
+1
I don't think about iStock anymore I think about Thinkstock - As an indie the PP accounts for 60-70% of my earnings there which means iStock is not much more than an uploading portal.
Initially Getty created Thinkstock as subs site to compete with SS, but it looks like Thinkstock failed to do it.
With the introduction of subs at iStock I guess they will soon close the Thinkstock
and move the subs business back to iStock.

Very possible. Although sometimes its safer to leave well alone. When buyers get disturbed and moved around some of them start to look around :)

« Reply #18 on: May 15, 2014, 11:38 »
+4
I happened upon this blog post today - a year old, but from a presentation designer who switched from iStock to Shutterstock

http://www.brightcarbon.com/blog/shutterstock-vs-istock-for-presentation-photos/

Clearly SS isn't perfect (and I worry that they are getting so dominant) but take a look at their site if you haven't lately and see how really amazing their presentation of the work they host is. Even if iStock had better content (which I'm not sure it does any more), their presentation is so much less inviting, IMO. Combine that with some of the most frustrating pricing...

I posted an example of Shutterstock's great presentation for a search result here.

« Reply #19 on: May 15, 2014, 13:39 »
+8
Well, this is what I dont understand: they had a subscription site, but where not able to make the slightest dent into Shutterstocks progress. So why would it be different if they offer subs from istock?

Either you know how to grow a business or you dont.

So to me it looks like the main goal really is to just create the illusion of being a similar tech story like Shutterstock, in the hope the wallstreet people are so naive to believe it and buy them free when they get floated on the stock market.

And of course introducing subs at istock will create fantastic subs growth rates on paper...as long as nobody asks how many are customers moving back from Thinkstock. So by just shifting their own customers from Thinkstock and Getty to the istock subs program they can create a huge "growth story" on paper.

« Reply #20 on: May 15, 2014, 18:02 »
+1
Well, this is what I dont understand: they had a subscription site, but where not able to make the slightest dent into Shutterstocks progress. So why would it be different if they offer subs from istock?

Either you know how to grow a business or you dont.

So to me it looks like the main goal really is to just create the illusion of being a similar tech story like Shutterstock, in the hope the wallstreet people are so naive to believe it and buy them free when they get floated on the stock market.

And of course introducing subs at istock will create fantastic subs growth rates on paper...as long as nobody asks how many are customers moving back from Thinkstock. So by just shifting their own customers from Thinkstock and Getty to the istock subs program they can create a huge "growth story" on paper.

It probably has to do with cost benefit ratio. It's probably just too expensive to keep running and maintaining Thinkstock as a measure of their sales from Thinkstock.

« Reply #21 on: May 15, 2014, 18:16 »
+4
Even worse than I remember. link to data from moodys

https://www.moodys.com/research/Moodys-downgrades-Getty-to-B3-from-B2-Outlook-is-Stable--PR_285298

How could they ever pay this back?

Who, the new owners of the debt, because Getty sold their company to a wealth fund, who sold Getty to another wealth fund.   I don't guess they 2nd buyers of the declining Getty did their homework.  I could have told them for a fee, say $100 million and saved their behinds. 

I knew it was going badly for Getty was they were pumping up its business through squeezing out every dollar from Istock.  So now what?
If I wasn't heading towards 6 figures with IStock , until they began fleecing the photographers and buyers,  I would laugh.  But now the market is saturated and people are fighting for crumbs.  Subscription won't save there past screw ups.  The 2nd buyers bought a clunker.

Their stupid front page "support our exclusive photographers" is repulsive.   The 100% royalty day just rubs in how much money most photographers have lost.  But I know where the money went.  It's in the debt of Getty and the pockets of original owners and the next sellers. 

"you got to know when to hold them, know when to fold them"


« Reply #22 on: May 15, 2014, 19:38 »
+3
They are lowering QC and letting in almost everything into iStock and Moment/Flickr Open collection. Looks like they are playing with number and desparately need to increase number of images tremendously and doesn't care flooding their library with low quality images that will turn buyers away.

« Reply #23 on: May 16, 2014, 05:59 »
+3
My sales are going down month after month. I got more downloads five years ago with a much smaller portfolio...
I'll probably be forced to go independent in 4-5 months.

« Reply #24 on: May 19, 2014, 16:17 »
0

They are lowering QC and letting in almost everything into iStock and Moment/Flickr Open collection. Looks like they are playing with number and desparately need to increase number of images tremendously and doesn't care flooding their library with low quality images that will turn buyers away.




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