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Agency Based Discussion => iStockPhoto.com => Topic started by: The Mighty Jungle on August 20, 2021, 14:24

Title: this month's stats --- better than expected
Post by: The Mighty Jungle on August 20, 2021, 14:24
Last month was below expected; this month above... Go figure.
Title: Re: this month's stats --- better than expected
Post by: For Real on August 20, 2021, 15:51
even with a lot of .01 and .02 sales I still doubled my month compared to last year's July thus happy...
Title: Re: this month's stats --- better than expected
Post by: Mantis on August 20, 2021, 16:52
From $400 last period to $280 this period. Fluctuates a lot from month to month.
Title: Re: this month's stats --- better than expected
Post by: cascoly on August 20, 2021, 21:48
Quote from: Mantis on August 20, 2021, 16:52
From $400 last period to $280 this period. Fluctuates a lot from month to month.

right that's why it's silly to extrapolate from 12 or2 months for most of us - it's a Poisson distribution and a running average (3-6 mo_) is a better indicator. individual months typically graph as a sawtooth range, not a smooth curve

with a small portfolio, the effects are magnified
Title: Re: this month's stats --- better than expected
Post by: Dumc on August 21, 2021, 00:19
Last month BME, this month one of the worst months, probably top 3 of the worst months.
Title: Re: this month's stats --- better than expected
Post by: tätarätä on August 21, 2021, 07:46
WME
Title: Re: this month's stats --- better than expected
Post by: ShadySue on August 21, 2021, 07:49
Last month my worst month since July 07.
This month much better, but not in any other sense 'good'.
 ::)
Title: Re: this month's stats --- better than expected
Post by: Mantis on August 21, 2021, 07:58
Quote from: cascoly on August 20, 2021, 21:48
Quote from: Mantis on August 20, 2021, 16:52
From $400 last period to $280 this period. Fluctuates a lot from month to month.

right that's why it's silly to extrapolate from 12 or2 months for most of us - it's a Poisson distribution and a running average (3-6 mo_) is a better indicator. individual months typically graph as a sawtooth range, not a smooth curve

with a small portfolio, the effects are magnified
Indeed. It's sawtooth (poisson) all the time.  There is, for me, typically a $50 to $150 delta from month to month. Looking at CY 2020, sales were lower but to your point:

Average: $242
Median: $238
Range: $170-$329 (Here's my $150 delta)
Title: Re: this month's stats --- better than expected
Post by: For Real on August 21, 2021, 09:08
Quote from: Mantis on August 21, 2021, 07:58
Quote from: cascoly on August 20, 2021, 21:48
Quote from: Mantis on August 20, 2021, 16:52
From $400 last period to $280 this period. Fluctuates a lot from month to month.

right that's why it's silly to extrapolate from 12 or2 months for most of us - it's a Poisson distribution and a running average (3-6 mo_) is a better indicator. individual months typically graph as a sawtooth range, not a smooth curve

with a small portfolio, the effects are magnified
Indeed. It's sawtooth (poisson) all the time.  There is, for me, typically a $50 to $150 delta from month to month. Looking at CY 2020, sales were lower but to your point:

Average: $242
Median: $238
Range: $170-$329 (Here's my $150 delta)

Good info thanks!