I asked my husband again, and he said, 'there's definitely nothing to worry about. It's just war games, the USA does it to China all the time'.

Trumps clams on panama

+100. I fully approve.

"Democrats" and communists = evil. That's why support for democrats in the US is very low.

Your ANZUS treaty from almost 100 years ago is an analogue of the Budapest Memorandum, by which the US, Great Britain and France guaranteed Ukraine protection.

No, it is not. ANZUS is an alliance agreement. The Budapest Memorandum basically is an agreement to honor the territorial integrity of the Ukraine. There is no obligation for any party to go to war with another signing state or a third party that violates this integrity. Besides, France didn't even sign the Memorandum and it is disputed whether it is legally binding at all, but even if it is, only Russia is in violation of it.

The fact that the Chinese fleet freely surrounded your island, did everything it wanted, conducted reconnaissance and realized that Australia has no army, this is already Australia's defeat. At the same time, the US did absolutely nothing.
If I were you, I would already sail away from Australia as far as possible.

It wasn't "the Chinese fleet", it was only three ships and of course the USA did nothing about, because the Chinese had every right to do this and three ships can hardly be considered a threat.

Personally, it is obvious to me that China is planning to occupy Australia.

An invasion attempt would be suicidal, because it would mean war with the USA and the UK at the very least and there is no way that China would be able to stage a successful invasion so far from its own borders or supply any troops that may be able to land against all odds. Not with the combined fleets and airforces of the USA, the UK and Australia as adversaries. Particularly not with the allied fleet having land based air cover in addition to a large number of aircraft carriers, whereas the Chinese could only rely on two aircraft carriers for air cover.

Quote from: stoker2014 on March 14, 2025, 07:40

Your ANZUS treaty from almost 100 years ago is an analogue of the Budapest Memorandum, by which the US, Great Britain and France guaranteed Ukraine protection.

No, it is not. ANZUS is an alliance agreement. The Budapest Memorandum basically is an agreement to honor the territorial integrity of the Ukraine. There is no obligation for any party to go to war with another signing state or a third party that violates this integrity. Besides, France didn't even sign the Memorandum and it is disputed whether it is legally binding at all, but even if it is, only Russia is in violation of it.

There is no automatic guarantee of military protection in ANZUS. It is not written there. Which makes ANZUS equal to the Budapest Memorandum.
The Budapest Memorandum is a Memorandum on security guarantees. It does not have a union of countries, it lists countries that guarantee Ukraine's territorial integrity and provide security guarantees. Yes, russia violated it, but this does not mean that the US and Great Britain have the right not to comply with it. More precisely, the US and Great Britain are cowards who do not fulfill their obligations.
If anyone thinks that Trump will fight under ANZUS, good luck in your hopes.

Quote from: stoker2014 on March 14, 2025, 07:40

The fact that the Chinese fleet freely surrounded your island, did everything it wanted, conducted reconnaissance and realized that Australia has no army, this is already Australia's defeat. At the same time, the US did absolutely nothing.
If I were you, I would already sail away from Australia as far as possible.

It wasn't "the Chinese fleet", it was only three ships and of course the USA did nothing about, because the Chinese had every right to do this and three ships can hardly be considered a threat.

https://www.nytimes.com/2025/03/12/world/australia/china-warships-australia-aukus.html

These few ships are not inferior in military power to the Australian fleet. And these were only a few ships. Read the article, Australia has nothing, or rather what Australia has will not help them.

Quote from: stoker2014 on March 14, 2025, 07:40

Personally, it is obvious to me that China is planning to occupy Australia.

An invasion attempt would be suicidal, because it would mean war with the USA and the UK at the very least and there is no way that China would be able to stage a successful invasion so far from its own borders or supply any troops that may be able to land against all odds. Not with the combined fleets and airforces of the USA, the UK and Australia as adversaries. Particularly not with the allied fleet having land based air cover in addition to a large number of aircraft carriers, whereas the Chinese could only rely on two aircraft carriers for air cover.

1. The US will not participate in the war for Australia.
2. Moreover, the US will not even defend the EU under Article 5 of the NATO treaty. Don't even dream about it, that's the reality.
3. Under Democrat Biden, the US army shamefully fled from the aborigines of the Taliban terrorist organization in Afghanistan. The US army left all the weapons to the Taliban terrorists because it fled like a coward.
And you think that the Americans will fight for Australia? Take off your rose-colored glasses!

And what does Great Britain have to do with it? I can also give you 100% that the British are so weak now that they will not sail to Australia. They cannot even defend their own islands because they have no army.

Quote from: Wilm on March 14, 2025, 10:30

It should be added that stoker2014 has written countless times that only facts count for him. What someone believes, he wrote, is completely irrelevant - one should believe in the church.
Now he is writing to someone about what he personally believes the Chinese will do. I recommend him to go to church.

Where did I write about faith in this topic? I published facts that the Chinese surrounded Australia and no NATO, USA or UK helped Australia and were not going to help. The facts are that Australia does not have a normal fleet and no army.
You still haven't figured out that World War III is going on. And if the Chinese have surrounded Australia, that means they are planning to occupy it. That's not faith, that's facts.

On February 3, you wrote:

"I already wrote to you, this forum is not a church, and here you don't need to ask people what they believe in."

On February 13, you wrote in response to cascoly:

"I already wrote to one German here that on questions of faith one should go only to the church."

If you believe something, it's a fact, if someone else believes something, they should go to church, right? I already tried to explain what narcissism is in the context of Donald Trump's thoughts and actions. What you formulate is just as narcissistic. So it's also clear why you adore Trump so much.

Despite all his lies and empty promises.
- The Ukraine deal within 24 hours when he is in government: a phrase.
- 50 WINS IN 50 DAYS: President Trump Delivers for Americans: Mostly Propaganda.
- Make America Great Again: The stock market sees it differently. Tesla too.

And the best thing about your statements: 3 Chinese ships "sourrounded" Australia. 14,500 km in circumference. 66,500 km of coastline. Surrounded by 3 ships. Oh my! The Australians should really get scared. And because you personally believe that the Chinese will occupy Australia, it's suddenly a fact.

Now everyone knows about the rest of your "facts" and "expert statements". They are as reliable as the statements of the other narcissist � your beloved Donald Trump.

And the best thing about your statements: 3 Chinese ships "sourrounded" Australia. 14,500 km in circumference. 66,500 km of coastline. Surrounded by 3 ships. Oh my! The Australians should really get scared. And because you personally believe that the Chinese will occupy Australia, it's suddenly a fact.

Do you even read the articles I link to here? Yes, imagine that! Just 3 Chinese ships, and Australian citizens were scared stiff for a month. They were constantly being convinced by their media that everything was fine, and that it was normal for the Chinese fleet to surround Australia. And imagine, these 3 ships had firepower equal to the firepower of the entire rusty Australian fleet. And yes, these ships can hold the entire perimeter of Australia under fire. As for the landing of paratroopers, the Chinese have a civilian fleet for that, a lot of barges that will bring a lot of soldiers and tanks and populate that Australia in a few days. Even on this topic page there is a link to what I am writing about. And don't call my analysis faith.
Don't compare the male genital organ to a finger. 

Quote from: stoker2014 on March 14, 2025, 16:41

...The facts are that Australia does not have a normal fleet and no army....

a simple google search would show what an ignorant statement this is

1.
https://www.nytimes.com/2025/03/12/world/australia/china-warships-australia-aukus.html

2.
Also compare Australia's military forces with China's military forces.

your ignorance knows no bounds - 3  chinese ships can't surround Australia and paratroopers dont 'land' from civilian 'barges'

1. Apparently you only know the capabilities of ships as they were 200-300 years ago, during the times of pirates. Surround means to keep under fire control. This provides the necessary weapons on the ship. Read the article again carefully.
https://www.nytimes.com/2025/03/12/world/australia/china-warships-australia-aukus.html

2. I give the answer from artificial intelligence:
"Civilian barges can be used to transport troops, but this will depend on the specific conditions and type of barge. Under normal circumstances, civilian barges are not designed to transport military cargo or personnel, but if necessary and with the appropriate training and equipment, the barge can be adapted for such purposes.
Typically, military operations use specialized transport, such as landing craft or warships, which have the necessary capabilities to transport troops and can also be equipped for rapid unloading and landing. But in wartime or military exercises, civilian vessels can be re-equipped for military needs, including the transport of troops."

3. China Suddenly Building Fleet Of Special Barges Suitable For Taiwan Landings
https://www.navalnews.com/naval-news/2025/01/china-suddenly-building-fleet-of-special-barges-suitable-for-taiwan-landings/

I think Australia won't even resist, but will quickly capitulate.

The US, both under the Democrats and the Republicans, is only concerned with solving the problems of Israel. Anyone who reads the news sees where the US military power is currently being used and where the money for weapons is going. For the US, only Israel and its problems matter. If, for example, China says that it will not help Iran and the Arabs, but in exchange it will occupy Australia, there is a 99% chance that the US will not help Australia.

The same US policy is observed in relation to Europe and in particular Ukraine. Trump is fulfilling putin's demand and achieving a "armistice" in Ukraine for at least 1 month. This is what the Russians need to prepare for a further offensive. Yes, the Russians are shouting in all the media that they are against something, but all this is disinformation. A armistice is putin's demand to the US for russia's non-interference in the war in the Middle East. Of course, there are still negotiations going on there, and it is possible that the US will not be able to agree with the Russians, then there will be no "armistice" in Ukraine.

As for the EU, the EU at the moment is more like a cowardly ostrich with its head in the sand. The same applies to Australia.

So the entirety of Australia were convinced that everything was fine... but they were also scared stiff? Which one is it?!

and australia has neither army nor navy but they're out of date!

According to the Bavarian Health Minister, clinics and hospitals must be prepared for war. This is as important for defense as the Bundeswehr.

The military threat to Europe from russia and the possible withdrawal of the new US President Trump from the previous security partnership also mean a huge need for action for the German health care system and civil society as a whole.

https://www.zeit.de/politik/deutschland/2025-03/judith-gerlach-csu-gesundheitssystem-kriegsfall

+100
Well, at least there is one person with brains in Germany.

So, I will summarize the preliminary results of Trump's rule. In short, everything is much better than under the communist democrats and Biden.
Ukraine strikes daring blows against the territory of the Russian empire every day. Under the coward and KGB agent Biden, one could only dream of such a thing. The EU is uniting and increasing the amount of weapons produced, which was impossible under the coward Biden.
Yes, Trump says a lot of offensive words about Ukraine, but I always wrote that I am not interested in what the US president says, I only care about his real policy.
Kyiv and Zelensky have already understood how to communicate with Trump. Everything is very simple, you need to constantly say thank you to him and you need to say that all his thoughts are brilliant and that Ukraine agrees with him 100%. But at the same time, these are all just words. Ukraine says one thing, but does another, and Zelensky keeps figs in his pockets.

Let's see what happens next, perhaps I will be forced to change my conclusions.

The last peaceful summer in Europe: German historian makes alarming prediction.

https://www.bild.de/politik/inland/putin-angriff-historiker-warnt-koennte-letzter-friedenssommer-sein-67d84e9a7de6aa748383cded