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Messages - Zero Talent

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551
Off Topic / Re: Will the Russia/Ukraine war affect sales?
« on: March 04, 2022, 21:49 »

In that case the owner is being called out to pull an action and to forbid the freedom of speech in his own property then right ?

And pressing the media what to publish what not is...now you tell me ?  ;)

I believe he can make his own decisions and the ban he gave was because of vulgar speech not because of the point of view as I recall.

The owner considered that vulgar speech is impacting his property.
He denied Aks1 the "freedom of speech" he never had.

The owner has the freedom to ban for any reason who he considers harmful to his property, and deny one's "freedom of speech". That may include banning Russian trolls.

Asking the owner to take action and protect his property from what is perceived as harmful is perfectly legit.

That's why you have a button called "Report to moderator" on your bottom right.  ;)

552
Off Topic / Re: Message to all Russians in these forums
« on: March 04, 2022, 21:16 »
.

553
Off Topic / Re: Will the Russia/Ukraine war affect sales?
« on: March 04, 2022, 20:39 »
A question for whoever is in charge of the forum - Why are you allowing Russian trolls spreading putin propaganda and refering to past conflicts that no only nothing to do with stock photography but is insulting to forum users.

And why would you want a forum that is against the freedom of speech? Because one of the core principles of a democratic world is build on freedom of speech which in its definition includes ideas that some find extremely offensive. If you don't like that you can always try to join some North Korean forum or some of that kind.   

The freedom of speech is not applicable in this case.

This forum is like all private media. Its freedom, like the freedom of the press, means that the owner can decide what can be published or not.
It's part of his "property rights".

If the admin decides that certain voices are impacting his property (e.g. by repealing advertisers or users) he has the freedom to deny someone's "freedom to speak" and protect his property, like he recently did with Aks1.

Governments of democratic countries do not have this right.

554
Off Topic / Re: Message to all Russians in these forums
« on: March 04, 2022, 19:44 »
Here are some civilians not being attacked in Ukraine:
https://www.reddit.com/r/ThatsInsane/comments/t6jgs6/comment/hzbiggu/

https://www.reddit.com/r/interestingasfuck/comments/t63m01/what_russia_is_doing_in_ukraine_right_now/?utm_medium=android_app&utm_source=share

There much worse videos with dead bodies including kids and people weeping but I am not going to post them here.

The attack on civilians is not an accident.

Putin was surprised by the unity and the stiff resistance of all Ukrainians, who denied him the easy 48h blitzkrieg victory, he initially planned for.
Bombarding residential areas shows that he switched to terror tactics, attempting to break regular people's morale, their unity, and their unexpected massive support for their brave government.

555
Off Topic / Re: Message to all Russians in these forums
« on: March 04, 2022, 18:11 »
...

Where did you see any apology of Poutine in this quote ? 

i dont usually remark on misspellings, but there's no reason to apologize for this Canadian delicacy

Hmm, maybe it's not clear for everybody, but in French, his name is spelled "Poutine", because if spelled like in most of the world, "Putin", it will sound exactly like "putain" = whore.

556
Off Topic / Re: where is inflation headed?
« on: March 04, 2022, 16:27 »
Here you can see what president spends what. And also the income and deficit change compared to the GDP.

https://www.presidency.ucsb.edu/statistics/data/federal-budget-receipts-and-outlays

Interesting. Yes, you can also see there, that Trump had a higher deficit, as % of GDP, than any other president after WWII.
This is the most serious root cause of today's inflation (without saying that the Biden administration is innocent)

that's been the case with every republican president in last 60 years - they rail against spending by democrats, then have massive spending themselves without a means to pay for it (unlike biden's plans, which are trillions over 10 YEARS, not the single year of the stimuli, and paid for w increased taxes)  and, of course, republicans recklessly cut taxes for the rich, decreasing income

Clinton was the only one who ended up with a surplus, during the past 50+ years, while Trump had the biggest post-WWII deficit to GDP, also because the GOP left him unchecked.

557
Off Topic / Re: Will the Russia/Ukraine war affect sales?
« on: March 04, 2022, 16:18 »

Your obsession with Kasparov is quite obvious. Can you tell us one more time about this guy... Kasparov you said?

Yes, Kasparov.
Or a true patriot with an intelligence level way above the average of those Putin's lackeys (check your mirror) who are swallowing, unchewed his blatant lies and disgusting propaganda!

558
Off Topic / Re: Will the Russia/Ukraine war affect sales?
« on: March 04, 2022, 09:58 »
I am also sorry to see Thijs gone.

559
Off Topic / Re: Message to all Russians in these forums
« on: March 04, 2022, 09:04 »
...
Eventually, through the Democratic Process and the prosperity it brings, these extremist elements would fade away into a tiny picturesque minority amidst a wide range of political views as it's the case in every other Democracy.
...

It was already happening. Right wing extremists had been politically marginalised in recent years. The skin heads are basically a political tool funded by various politicians in Ukraine. Primarily a minister called Arsen Avakov who is no longer in power. When his funding dried up their presence on the streets almost disappeared too.

Right. There are extremists in ALL democracies.
Let's just remember our own January 6th Capitol attack.
But their presence doesn't define a country as Putin tries when he is using a tiny extremist minority to define Ukraine.
Too bad that some on this forum, Russian trolls or not, are buying his propaganda (e.g. komikmiha, SVH, ...)

560
Off Topic / Re: Russian photographers should be banned!
« on: March 04, 2022, 08:52 »

Even a broken clock is right twice a day.

Otherwise, #russiantroll #putinpropaganda

561
Off Topic / Re: Message to all Russians in these forums
« on: March 04, 2022, 08:48 »
#russiantroll #putinpropaganda

562
Off Topic / Re: where is inflation headed?
« on: March 04, 2022, 08:36 »

Its like the inflation of the seventies. There was a temporary oil price shock to trigger inflation.
Everybody thought inflation will be temporary, but ist wasn't. People got accustomed that money is loosing value. This caused a low saving ratio to keep infbion at a high level. At the end of the seventies there has been 1% inflation - per month.
Paul Volcker fighten Inflation with 21% interest rate of the Fed successful. The Fed will rise interest rate this year to fight high inflation again. .

No. This is is incorrect. The Great Inflation of the 70s was not triggered by the oil price, but by the excessive "money printing", as it always was and is.

 The origins of the Great Inflation were policies that allowed for an excessive growth in the supply of moneyFederal Reserve policies.
...
one critical and erroneous assumption to the implementation of stabilization policy of the 1960s and 1970s was that there existed a stable, exploitable relationship between unemployment and inflation. Specifically, it was generally believed that permanently lower rates of unemployment could be bought with modestly higher rates of inflation.

https://www.federalreservehistory.org/essays/great-inflation

563
Off Topic / Re: Message to all Russians in these forums
« on: March 04, 2022, 08:20 »
And Putin is not Hitler.
He is the new Stalin. Same thing.

564
Same here.
I don't need this.

565
Off Topic / Re: where is inflation headed?
« on: March 03, 2022, 16:30 »
Here you can see what president spends what. And also the income and deficit change compared to the GDP.

https://www.presidency.ucsb.edu/statistics/data/federal-budget-receipts-and-outlays

Interesting. Yes, you can also see there, that Trump had a higher deficit, as % of GDP, than any other president after WWII.
This is the most serious root cause of today's inflation (without saying that the Biden administration is innocent)

566
Off Topic / Re: where is inflation headed?
« on: March 03, 2022, 15:57 »
The first 6 billion Covid plan (driving that initial 2020 spike) had 2 components: 3 billion from the Fed and 3 billion from the stimulus, and those checks he proudly put his signature on, for everybody to appreciate his "generosity".

Now it's pay-back time.

Besides Biden's build-back-better plan is dead, killed by Joe Manchin. So there's nothing coming from that, yet.

But if it will ever pass, then yes, I agree that it will generate inflation.

The build-back-better plan was originally at 3.5 trillion dollars. So if the stimulus package of Trump was just 3 billion that's a factor thousand! Actually a drop in the ocean if Biden's plan had gone ahead. So lucky then it didn't, because if you would take that amount, with your reasoning, inflation would go where it has never been before, right?

But actually Trump had a 900 billion stimulus package which was topped by Biden in March 2021 with $1.9 trillion coronavirus relief package. Over two times as much, that is.

Oops, sorry, my mistake! Good catch!

The initial Trump bailout was 6 trillion indeed! That's what I meant to say.

An emergency stimulus package to bail out the US economy amid the coronavirus pandemic will total $6 trillion a quarter of the entire countrys GDP, the White House said Tuesday.

The graph I posted above doesn't lie.
This is also when The US has reached the highest debt to GDP ratio ever. Higher than after WWII! Imagine that!

Edit: you don't live in The USA, but printing dollars out of hot air, is surely impacting the world economy.
In a way, the rest of the world suffers even more, since The USA only has to print money to pay (a part of) its international debts. The dollar is still the preferred currency in international trade, so "printing" dollars is a modern way to make others pay an old fashion tribute.

567
Off Topic / Re: where is inflation headed?
« on: March 03, 2022, 15:35 »
...
I really don't think its a historical thing, either. The differences are still relevant today.  But as I said, we could debate this for ever. Economics is pretty much a theoretical subject anyway....

perhaps, but those theories have major consequences in the real world, especially when decisions are made by officials who are not economists -- eg, what sort of stimulus (if any) should be used in response to the debacle of 2008-9, is any business 'too big to fail', etc

This is explaining where today's inflation is coming from:


It's the Fed who controls and manipulates money supply. Not the politicians. Politicians only spend money and lend for it with approval of congress. So if the lending is a problem, I thought Biden asked for a record of a budget in his presidency for the "build back better"-plan. So you cannot link fed's decisions with presidency. There is no link.

Ooh, yeah! Of course, there is. The chairman of the Fed is a political POTUS appointee. He is as "independent" as the SCOTUS justices who are almost always voting along the party lines.

The first 6 billion Covid plan (driving that initial 2020 spike) had 2 components: 3 billion from the Fed and 3 billion from the stimulus, including those checks he proudly put his signature on, for everybody to appreciate his "generosity". Both components are nothing else than hot-air money or "money printing".

Now it's pay-back time.

Besides Biden's build-back-better bill is dead, killed by Joe Manchin. So there's nothing coming from that, yet.

But if it will ever pass, then yes, I agree that it will generate inflation.

568
Off Topic / Re: Will the Russia/Ukraine war affect sales?
« on: March 03, 2022, 15:22 »
Kasparov does say a lot of uh's, doesn't he :)

But he was an opponent of Putin and lost.

Maybe you don't realize, but having the guts to compete against Putin, in Russia, is far from being the same as running for office in a democratic country!

Of course, he lost! How can you even imagine that he ever stood a chance against a dictator?
His candidacy was a symbolic act of courage! He was too famous to end up poisoned or jailed, like other Putin critics.

Besides, he is not a native English speaker, so cut him some slack with the "uhs".

Thanks for the transcript, Pete, but I prefer the video because he sounds natural and he conveys the message better, than through a dry transcript.

569
Off Topic / Re: where is inflation headed?
« on: March 03, 2022, 14:49 »
...
I really don't think its a historical thing, either. The differences are still relevant today.  But as I said, we could debate this for ever. Economics is pretty much a theoretical subject anyway....

perhaps, but those theories have major consequences in the real world, especially when decisions are made by officials who are not economists -- eg, what sort of stimulus (if any) should be used in response to the debacle of 2008-9, is any business 'too big to fail', etc

This is explaining where today's inflation is coming from:

570
Off Topic / Re: Will the Russia/Ukraine war affect sales?
« on: March 03, 2022, 12:36 »
This is absolutely no different than the "countries" of Luhansk and Donetsk, used as the launching pad and the excuse for invading Ukraine.

 History WILL repeat itself... again.
We'll see. I will keep in mind you said it.
Sure, but it will be too late, and useless to be right.

Anyway, watch that analysis and you will understand why he has compeling reasons to push beyond Dnieper, to capture Odessa, and more

Edit: Since I already mentioned Kasparov a couple of times, this is a week old, but still very relevant: https://www.pbs.org/video/what-is-putins-end-game-garry-kasparov-on-russias-attack-4v0/

571
Off Topic / Re: Will the Russia/Ukraine war affect sales?
« on: March 03, 2022, 12:26 »
So you think that the plans revealed by Lukashenko on that map, in front of his cabinet and military are not real?
And those arrows are not war plans? Then what? Weather forecast? Common, man!

We will talk about this, again, once Moldova will be attacked.

What is the strategic advantage of occupying Moldavia? I really don't see it. I will surely appologise to you if they do invade but I just don't see it happening. There is no reason for it from whichever point of view you look at it. Unless offcourse, he wants to march on through Rome :)

But if you think the will occupy the whole of Ukraine why not invade in places west of the Dnjepr?

Fyi, he is already occupying the east of Moldova, a tiny strip of land called Transnistria, or a "country" that's only recognized by Russia, where Putin has stationed his 14th army.
Note that Lukashenko's arrow is inwards, towards Moldova, not outwards towards Ukraine.

This is absolutely no different than the "countries" of Luhansk and Donetsk, used as the launching pad and the excuse for invading Ukraine.

 History WILL repeat itself... again.

572
Off Topic / Re: Will the Russia/Ukraine war affect sales?
« on: March 03, 2022, 11:56 »
Does anyone still think that Putin will stop once Ukraine is occupied?

I think he will stop when all eastern of the Dnjepr is in their hands and that will be it, so not all of Ukraine. I also really don't think he will pursue any further into other countries. It's costing to much effort to get this thing done so it would be really surprising if he would move further.

With the eastern part in his possesion the Krim will be connected to the North and I think that's the only goal here. The western part is not that that interesting. To much hassle to occupy for a long time with inhabitants that really hate Russia. The eastern part this problem is a lot less.

So, yes I do think it will stop there. The photo of the map doesn't tell anything in my view. The arrows can mean a lot of things. It's not necessarily an invasion plan.

So you think that the plans revealed by Lukashenko on that map, in front of his cabinet and military are not real?
And those arrows are not war plans? Then what? Weather forecast? Common, man!

We will talk about this, again, once Moldova will be attacked.

His goal is at best to transform Ukraine into a landlocked country, by creating a land bridge between Russia, Crimea, and Transnistria, thus cutting the access and taking over its gas and oil reserves in the Black Sea.
But he is clearly aiming at much more than this.

If you got time, watch this informative analysis: https://youtu.be/If61baWF4GE

573
I saw a post about Deposit Photos creating two collections of free images/videos of protests about the war in Ukraine (an account is required, but you can use a Google or FB account if you don't already have one at DepositPhotos).

https://depositphotos.com/folder/International%20rallies%20in%20support%20of%20Ukraine-299149664.html

https://depositphotos.com/folder/The%20truth%20about%20Russia%27s%20war%20in%20Ukraine%20-299150880.html

They explain why they are doing this:

https://www.facebook.com/Depositphotos/posts/10158454288786720

Most of the content is editorial use only (not surprisingly given the subject)

This is important since the DP founder is a Russian who built his business in Ukraine:

Dmitry Sergeev is a successful serial entrepreneur of Russian origin, who built his most prominent venture, Depositphotos, in Ukraine.
...
Being of Russian origin, but developing his startup in Ukraine, it was inevitable for Sergeev to face consequences from the conflict between Russia and Ukraine. Having spent most of his recent years in the latter, Sergeev feels more passionate about Ukraine, its pro-European direction and most importantly, its IT community. He often emphasises his refusal to relocate the main operations from Ukraine, despite this being a frequent environment of investors approaching Depositphotos. As of today, Sergeev has acquired citizenship in Cyprus but maintains stronger ties with Ukraine, rather than with Russia.


https://www.thetribune.com/dmitry-sergeev-founder-of-one-of-worlds-largest-photobanks-and-content-marketplaces/

574
Off Topic / Re: Will the Russia/Ukraine war affect sales?
« on: March 03, 2022, 09:18 »
Hmm... On February 24th, I wrote this:

You will be able to quote me when Putin will occupy Moldova.
Moldova is guilty of the same mistake as Ukraine: they ousted Putin's puppet and elected a pro-EU president.
*

* Note. She is one of the very few elected female head of state in the world, Maia Sandu: https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Maia_Sandu

When that will happen you will not have the luxury to say that I was right only in "hindsight".
There is still time to prevent the "next step", the seizure of the next "Salami Slice". One of the ways is by moving NATO troops there, now (with all the necessary legalities in place, of course).


And yesterday this photo popped up:


It shows Putin's Belarussian puppet, Lukashenko, revealing Putin's clear plans to target Moldova, once Odessa is occupied.


 :(

Does anyone still think that Putin will stop once Ukraine is occupied?
Does anyone still hope that: "...we can only hope that this is Putin's last move."::)

Listen to Kasparov!
https://www.microstockgroup.com/off-topic/message-to-all-russians-in-these-forums/msg574044/#msg574044

Edit: Speaking about Kasparov's "appeasers", I just read that Macron had another useless 90 minutes chat with the dictator.



575
Off Topic / Re: where is inflation headed?
« on: March 03, 2022, 08:01 »
Fair enough. I read the OP as being concerned about price increases but maybe they meant they were concerned about money supply? Anyway, good night.

No, the OP was concerned about total price increases.

And yes, an important cause is the artificial abundance of money (i.e. inflation).

Anyway, I'm afraid that it's unfair to be happy with the money falling from the skies as stimulus checks, and then be unhappy when the natural market forces are taking all back (and more), through inflation. Because it happens all the time.

Remember, excessive money printing is a hidden tax.
Politicians like the take credit for the checks, but not for their consequences.
In other words,  "After me, comes the flood".
One president even put his signature on them, and now, together with his party, they are exclusively blaming his successor (who is also guilty of the same, but to a lesser extent, so far) for the predictable effect of his "generosity".


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