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Messages - gostwyck

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576
Shutterstock.com / Re: How are sales going?- Shutterstock
« on: August 18, 2013, 17:14 »
FWIW, my sales are showing about average for a Saturday and Sunday so far. 

If there's some glitch I haven't seen it.

Same here. Very steady growth projected for the month. I just wish other agencies had SS's supposed 'glitch'.

577
Shutterstock.com / Re: How are sales going?- Shutterstock
« on: August 15, 2013, 19:41 »
Had a huge day Tuesday. Yesterday had 4. Today one so far. Really bad. Had better sales over the past weekend then I did the past two days. Too much search tweaking in my opinion.

I'm seeing the same inconsistency.  Makes me wonder if the "real time" update is working.  I noticed last night that sales (on the world map) are popping up in bunches.  Then long periods with nothing?

Just a thought.

Same problem here, I did great over the weekend, but today is terrible.

Hmmm __ things were normal for me 3 hours ago and now sales have slowed. SS must have done a massive change to the sort order in the meantime. Not.

578
iStockPhoto.com / Re: 30 seconds
« on: August 15, 2013, 09:41 »
Do they have any clue how much that dissuades people from uploading?

I'd have thought that the paltry royalties and low sales volume would be more than enough 'dissuasion' for anyone. Who cares about anything else? Why waste your time with them?

579
Interesting that they posted a link to MSG. It suggests that they are happy for the discussion to continue ... but don't want any potential legal ramifications if it got out of hand on the DT forum.

580
Shutterstock.com / Re: How are sales going?- Shutterstock
« on: August 15, 2013, 09:11 »
Sales at SS appear to be steady for me. I'm projected to be 7% up on August 2012 (this is my 9th year at SS).

What does concern me is the volume of new images being accepted at SS of late. They are currently claiming "175K new stock images added this week" and a few days ago it was 183K (the highest I've ever seen). Where are all these new images coming from? SS must have doubled their reviewing capacity to cope with such an influx which suggests that they expect this volume of new content to be sustained.

581
iStockPhoto.com / Re: The Graph Say It All - sales vs $
« on: August 14, 2013, 23:46 »
Well, if the one he likes is 40 credits, that's what the cost is.  If it's more important that it doesn't cost 40 credits, then he can pick a cheaper one.

What surprised me, when I did a search on 'post-it note', is how many images depict a piece of yellow paper ... secured by a drawing pin. Isn't that missing the point of what 'post-it notes' are and how they're supposed to work?

It was actually the invention of a 'glue that doesn't stick to anything' that led to the 'post-it note' being developed by 3M.

582
That approach would require a fairly balanced investor. Not someone who likes to gamble on microstock.

How do you 'gamble' on microstock? Where are the odds displayed? What on earth are you talking about?

583
If you had a modest portfolio of 500 Apple shares, you would have made over $11,000 just in one day. 

Firstly $250K of Apple shares is hardly 'modest'. Assuming a balanced portfolio of no more than 10% in any one investment it suggests a 'modest' $2.5M in overall savings.

Apart from that you would also have lost a lot more than $11K if you'd bought your 500 Apple shares at their peak of $700. A 'snapshot' of what might have happened if you'd done this or that on one particular day is pointless and irrelevant ... unless you actually did it.

584
So if my own numbers, the monthly poll, and the yearly polls aren't acceptable which numbers do you take to be ok?  It sounds to me like you just dismiss anything that doesn't agree with your assumptions.

No. I'm only dismissing your 'numbers' that are based on nothing at all. If I drove down a road and happened to see 2 rabbits and one cow, by your assumptions, there therefore must be twice as many rabbits as cows in the world. Even more bizarrely, you've even managed to extrapolate, supposedly, how much the average rabbit must be earning! Are you really so stupid that you don't appreciate that you can't actually multiply bananas by coconuts to work out how apples per square metre you will need to tile your bathroom? That's how ridiculous your extrapolations are.

585
Well, I would consider myself a fairly "average" exclusive, but like ShadySue, I don't make anywhere near $2500/month on iStock, and even my BME isn't close.

I suspect it's a case where the sample size and variation is such that the average isn't very representative;  it is likely skewed by a few very high earners against a large number of moderate sellers.  I would think the median figure given in the poll, $12,405/annum, is much closer to the experience for most of us.  Certainly it's a lot more like mine.
There are a lot of people doing it full time and $12,000 is nowhere near enough for a full time living so I'm pretty sure there are many people making more than that.

Gosh! Thanks for that. You really know how to do your research don't you? At the risk of paraphrasing you, "I'm pretty sure" that you haven't got a * clue what you are talking about!

You are just pulling numbers, any numbers, out of the air and using them to support your hilarious and absurd assumptions about the obviously failing Istockphoto and the income of their unfortunate and gullible exclusives, of which sadly, you are one (but probably not for too much longer).

586
iStockPhoto.com / Re: The Graph Say It All - sales vs $
« on: August 11, 2013, 16:19 »
I think that the biggest problem with istock is that it doesn't exist anymore.  The name is still there but that's it.  Almost everything about the site has changed in the past 5 years.  Its just part of Getty, they keep the name, like they've kept the name of some of the other sites they've assimilated.

There is a certain, painful (and yet somehow glorious) truth in what you say there. Istockphoto, as we once knew it, really doesn't exist at all. They are now a third, forth or even fifth level agency struggling to maintain their revenue. Greedy wankers. Serves them right!

587
iStockPhoto.com / Re: The Graph Say It All - sales vs $
« on: August 11, 2013, 15:09 »
I'd get rid of the exclusive contract in it's present form, and offer the option for exclusive images or maybe exclusive shoots (this to prevent people putting similars elsewhere).

I'd abandon all the scams, and put some effort into demonstrating that IS is a company that can be trusted.

Great idea. I think I'd appoint you as the next GM of Istock.

588
Shutterstock.com / Re: Shutterstock Q2 Profit Rises
« on: August 11, 2013, 15:06 »
All commodity prices go up over time, even the ones with historic gluts on the market.

That's not true at all __ if you take inflation into account. When Henry VIII was king of England, for example, a simple rice pudding was quite literally considered "food fit for a king". To make rice pudding you needed sugar from as far west as the known world and rice from as far east as the known world. Rice pudding was impossibly exotic and very expensive. Nowadays those same commodities are absurdly cheap in the developed world.

Commodity prices are defined by supply and demand. I'm not sure why you might think that there exists a dearth in the supply of images that might justify an increase in their prices?

SS have stated quite clearly that they are currently 'operating for growth' (as opposed to 'operating for profit'). That means that they're not going to raise prices (and therefore royalties) for the foreseeable future. If you want 'a raise' then you'll have to do the work yourself __ just like SS themselves. If they want a raise then they have to spend the money and take the risks in order to, hopefully, sell more of our images.

589
Adobe Stock / Re: How are we compensated for these print sales?
« on: August 11, 2013, 10:44 »
The use of your image is not illegal if it is only displayed as a option for buyers. Some sites do this legally. They can offer your image for sale on a print or canvas but only need to buy the license if it is sold for that use, not just offered as a choice. I have a photo on (only) one microsite (so it's easy to track the sales) that is offered as an option on a chain of sites that sell canvas prints and every time it is sold I get a license sale. They are required to purchase an extended license every time the image is sold, and they do. I'm not saying that is the case here, but some print on demand sites do follow the rules.

I guess it depends on the source agency but I'm not even sure that an EL is always required (assuming that only one canvas print is being bought) they might just need to buy the image at full-size. Some years ago Istock started selling prints from their own site (and DT too if I remember correctly) and no EL was required back then.

590
iStockPhoto.com / Re: Thinkstock Down for Maintenance?
« on: August 11, 2013, 10:33 »
Checking to see files transferred from iS to TS and getting "down for routine maintenance" message.  Any ideas on what may be happening?

Yes, my idea is that they might be down for routine maintenance.

591
A few years ago the average exclusive was making $30,000 per year (or $2500/month) so lots of exclusives now have their income under represented in the poll.
Where do you get that figure and how are you working it out?

When iStockStats was working (preRCs), for a long time I was always around position 1880-5 in downloads. That was among all contributors, not just exclusives, and at that time there were said to be IIRC something around 4000-5000 exclusives. So I'd say that put me a bit above the average for exclusives for downloads. The top people would be earning much more, but some of the top downloaded togs were indies, just like now.
I can assure you that as an apparent 'average' exclusive at the time, I was earning quite a bit less than half of that.

So, where are you getting the 'average exclusive was earning $2500pm' figure from? No doubt a very few at the top were earning more than that, but I doubt very much if even the 'average earned by exclusives' was anything like that.
From the yearly poll here, should be about the same people answering the monthly poll so I chose that group.   I meant it to be the average of people that participate on MSG, all the numbers would be much lower if you took into account people that uploaded 1 image in 2005 and never thought about it again.  Your numbers would be for the median contributor not the average.

How utterly ridiculous. That's the most laughable 'extrapolation' of a tiny, non-representative, self-selecting, non-verifiable piece of 'data' I have ever had the misfortune to observe. 

592
Shutterstock.com / Re: Shutterstock Q2 Profit Rises
« on: August 09, 2013, 17:09 »
.65 is 27% of $2.33

The following puts the monthly/daily numbers in perspective

$639,112.76 SS Q2 Revenue per Day vs $.0061 x Portfolio Number = Average Q2 Contributor Revenue per Download per Day

The average we earned per paid download for the three months in Q2 is $.65 or 27% of $2.33 SS's Revenue per download

$$$$$$$ SS Revenue per download

Number of paid downloads  in three months = 24,300,000 x $2.33 or $56,619,000.00 SS Revenue per total downloads per Three Months in Q2

Number of paid downloads in one month = 8, 100,000 x $2.33 or $18,873,000.00 SS Revenue per Month in Q2

Number of paid downloads in one day = 274,291 x $2.33 or $639,112.76 SS Revenue per Day in Q2


On the Contributor side of the 27,300,000 files we have on SS each file on average received the following number of downloads.

.89 average download per file in collection in three months or .89 x $.65 = $.57 Contributor Revenue per download per Three Month Period in Q2

.29 average download per file in collection in one month or .29 x $.65 = $.18 Contributor Revenue per download per Month in Q2

.0095 average download per file in collection in one day or .0095 x $.65 = $.0061 Contributor Revenue per download per Day in Q2  (average duration in month = 29.530589 days)

$639,112.76 SS Revenue per Day vs $.0061 x port number = Average Contributor Revenue per Download per Day

^^^ That seems to me to be meaningless numbers being spouted without references. Where does "$.0061 x portfolio number" come from? Why have you got a 'vs' (i.e.versus?) in a supposed mathematical formula?

593
iStockPhoto.com / Re: The Graph Say It All - sales vs $
« on: August 09, 2013, 16:57 »
I was aware my sales at IS had increased, and money had decreased, but looking at the graphs side by side really brings the point home better than words...  :o >:( :P

My own graphs are almost identical in shape. At least we can enjoy the rueful irony that IS are actually losing more than 4x the money that we are.

I'm guessing that IS really had little choice, but to take the painful medicine, in order to stay in the game.  Unfortunately they probably haven't performed the operation skilfully enough to have the effect that they really need. 'Main' collection files are now cheaper than they need to be whilst the majority of exclusive files, at 10x more for a Medium image, appear over-priced relative to the Main collection. I can see buyers hoovering up the Main collection images (which at these prices does nobody any good) whilst ignoring the more expensive ones. That'll probably lead to more exclusives handing in their crowns ... and so on.

I think the future is going to be much worse for Istock though. I (stupidly) uploaded about 100 new images to IS a couple of months ago. Since then those images have garnered about 15 sales for a total of about $10. That works out at about 5c per image/month. Yes ... I really did say 5c/image/month. Most of the images don't appear to have appeared on the PP yet but the few that did have earned a paltry $5 more. I find that incredible. If the insultingly low royalties, on pathetically low prices, weren't enough disincentive to starve IS of new content then surely the lack of sales will be. I can't imagine why any independent contributor would bother to upload to IS again.

By way of comparison the 100 images uploaded to SS at about the same time have earned well over $200.

594
iStockPhoto.com / Re: How to define the " exclusive"?
« on: August 09, 2013, 09:03 »
If I'm an exclusive in IS, and I have same image but shooted by two cameras, and I send one to IS another to others, is it allowed?

If you change your name to 'Yuri' then it will be fine __ you can even use the same camera then too.

595
i don't think he's gonna fire anyone, his goal could be to create a 1 million images portfolio so he might hire another 100 guys if needed.

you all think his belly is full but i've the feeling this is just the tip of the iceberg, the deal with getty allows him to produce expensive shots for getty and leaving the cr-ap for istock and thinkstock, win-win scenario.

No. He 'hit the wall' as an independent, as we all do, he was just a bit later than most of us because he kept upping his production rate. Unfortunately you can't keep doing that forever. You can't just keep 'employing another 100 guys' and expect it to pay off. It's painfully ironic that Yuri's 'solution' to the issue was to tie himself into a dwindling agency. Big, big mistake.

A 'Main Collection' image at IS, at medium size, is now 3 credits. An exclusive image (not Main Collection) at medium size is now 30 credits. Is a 10x differential, between main and exclusive, sustainable? Nope. Quite frankly you might as well start another agency for exclusive content. You just don't get the same customers, with such different budgets, all happily shopping in the same place. It doesn't work like that.

596
^^^ Ha! From the same link here's an even more extreme example of how SS are pushing the boundaries of search optimisation ... whilst IS can barely keep their site functioning;

"You know the world has come a long way when someone has to espouse the heresy of not caring about statistical significance.

This is not an argument against A/B testing, but rather about how we use A/B test results to make business decisions.  Instead of statistical significance, lets make decisions based on expected value, i.e. $benefit probability − $cost.

A little background on statistical significance, or p < 0.05″. Say you have just deployed an A/B test, comparing the existing red (control) vs. a new green (test) BUY NOW! button. Two weeks later you see that the green-button variant is making $0.02 more per visitor than the red-button variant. You run some stats and see that the p-value is less than 0.05, and are ready to declare the results significant.  Significant here means that theres an over 95% chance that the color made a difference, or more true to the statistics, theres less than 5% chance that the $0.02 difference is simply due to random fluctuations.

That last sentence there is probably too long to fit in anyones attention span. Let me break it down a little. The problem here is that you need to prove, or disprove, that the difference between the two variants is real real meaning generalizable to the larger audience outside of the test traffic. The philosophy of science (confirmation is indefinite while negation is absolute a thousand white swans cant prove that all swans are white, but one black swan can disprove that all swans are white) and practicality both require that people set out to prove that the difference is real by disproving the logical opposite, i.e. there is no real difference. Statistics allows us to figure out that if we assume there is no difference between the red- and green-button variants, the probability of observing a $0.02 or larger difference by random chance is less than 0.05, i.e. p < 0.05. That is pretty unlikely. So we accept the alternative assumption, that the difference is real."


SS and IS are on different planets when it comes to technical innovation, response to customers' needs and the analytical use of data. IS haven't even been able to provide real-time statistics for 5 years! What hope have they, with their part-time, ever-changing GM's, of competing against a full-on, aggressive entrepreneur like Oringer? Er .. that'll be ... not much.

The very idea that IS can compete with SS in the longer term is utterly laughable. Who was it that said "professionals deal with professionals"? Oh yeah __ I just remembered. Boy, is he going to regret that decision within a couple of years from now! It'll be triple-helpings of humble pie for Mr Yuri when he can't feed his '100 employees'. I'm just sitting on my hands waiting for the inevitable to happen.

597
...as confirmed by Yuri it seems SS has no plans to raise our fees or to launch a new expensive product line.
and frankly speaking i would do the same, their core business is being the leader in low cost so they better avoid risky adventures in news, reportage, midstock, etc...

So... have you heard of Offset?

No ... judging by his misguided posts, it would appear that Xanox hasn't heard anything at all for at least 5 years.

598
I won't argue that some long time contributors have gone down in income.  I don't think their revenue is down because Istock's revenue is down, I think that money has moved to different contributors (you can look at just few of the new Getty contributors and see they brought in millions in revenue in just a couple years) and some to the Partner Program.

You claimed in another thread that this was your 7th or 8th year in microstock (you said you'd had 7 Julys). That makes you a longer-term contributor than Pesky Monkey. If massive amounts of income have moved from several of the major players then where has it all gone? Some newer contributors must have been doing fantastically __ but I don't see them celebrating on the sales thread. It's only newbies or folk who have recently been doubling or trebling their portfolios that report any growth at all (and even then it's nothing much relative to the effort involved).

You seem desperate to talk Istock up whilst ignoring all the facts and the evidence against them.

Why would Istock have slashed the prices for their 'Main Collection' by 60%+ if they weren't having a problem selling them? That even includes lots of exclusive files. That means that Istock will need to sell more than twice as many of those same files ... just to break even on the deal. Is that going to happen? Not a chance. However, with sales falling so fast, did they really have a choice if they wanted to stay in the game? Apparently not in the judgement of Istock's management.

599
I think you are picking unrealistically low numbers.  All those Istock/Getty contributors sell their work for around $75/dl.  Video downloads average well over $100/dl.   The estimate in 2011 was that Istock had revenue of $350 million, my guess is that number has increased although not as fast as it did in the past.   I think it's very far fetched to think that overall Istock has lost more than 50% of it's revenue in a year and a half when it seems much more likely they've grown by a substantial margin.  FWIW the average DL in 2011 was said to be over $16, maybe $20 is more realistic for now?

Don't forget that Getty themselves flatlined, during the H&F ownership, between 2008 and 2012. Getty's turnover was $950M on the last published figures so, if Istock really did grow to $350M, they would have been Getty's major earner at nearly 40% of their total. It's possible but I'd think that Getty might have taken better care of such an essential part of their empire.

I doubt that video, audio and Vetta+ sales are a particularly significant proportion of IS's total revenue __ I'd guess that they might account for 10% or 15% at best.

All we need is for a few more exclusive and independent contributors to advise the average price paid for their own images during July. Those would be real numbers that we could work back on.

Do I think that Istock's revenues have massively declined over the last couple of years? Yes I do and there's lots of evidence for it too. I know lots of long-term independent contributors, like me, whose income from Istock has dwindled to a fraction of what it was just a couple of years ago. Then there's all the ex-exclusives who have left in the last year or so. Why did they do that if incomes weren't falling?

Here's 'Pesky Monkey', a regular uploading exclusive contributor since 2007 with over 10K files and 170K+ sales, in this month's sales thread;

"$ down 25% and DLs down 56% compared to July 2012."

From the evidence that I see it is entirely possible (I'd even say probable) that Istock's revenue has halved since it's peak. That's why they keep sacking the boss.

600
1st Q SS revenue was $51 million total (that includes Bigstock, SS photos, video, illustrations). 

It's hard to figure out Istock's numbers but I think it's been said that 80% of sales are from exclusives, is that an agreed upon number?  Conservatively I would guess that the average sale price of an exclusive file is $30-$40. A nonexclusive probably is $7 (now it would have been higher until recently).  So then an average sale would be around $27, conservatively.   So 1.9 million downloads would be needed in three months to get $51 million if that was the only consideration.  There are also video, illustration, audio, and flash sales along with the partner program along with mirrored sales on Getty Images.

In 2011 Istock licensed more than 21 million files.  Lets say for arguments sake that sales fell by 50% since 2011, they haven't for me (they've gone up since then) that would mean 10.5 million a year and 2.6 million per quarter.  Even using my conservative numbers, not counting mirrored content on Getty or the partner program or the possibility that vector and video sales have a higher RPD than photo sales it seems impossible that Shutterstock is bringing in more revenue than Istock.

My sales at IS (between Jan-June) are indeed about 50% of the volume over the same period in 2011.

I don't think it's likely that 80% of Istock's sales can come from exclusive content when, from the searches I've done, considerably less than 50% of content is exclusive. For easy numbers let's say sales are 50/50 between ex/non-ex content.

In July the buyers of my images paid an average of $4.42. Let's assume that the average price paid for independent content is $5 and the average for exclusive content is $20 ... after the price reductions remember.

So ... if Istock are say currently on target to sell 10.5M images over the year ... and the average price paid is now $12.50 (based on 50/50 ex/non-ex sales) ... that would generate annual revenue of $131M ... barely more than half of the revenue SS is projecting for 2013.

If the percentage of exclusive sales were lower than 50% (highly likely based on the content distribution) then the numbers tumble even further.

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