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Messages - Xanox

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276
Canon / Re: Wow!!! Canons Testing a 75MP+ Pro DSLR
« on: July 24, 2013, 17:43 »
depending on the price, it will just be a poorman's medium-format !

and who needs to shoot 75MP images by the way ? which lens will be good enough for such a sensor ?
even with the D800 @ 36 MP the lenses recommended by nikon are maybe less than a dozen so far.

it makes no sense to me, they should launch a new 72mm format if they really want to make things properly, and of course bigger and heavier lenses ! otherwise it will be a bottleneck to stick with actual full frame lenses.

besides, most of the problems these lenses have are because they're too small and too light.



277
Adobe Stock / Re: Fotolia - Unsold contents (ANNOUNCEMENT)
« on: July 24, 2013, 17:30 »
exactly as i predicted long time ago : agencies are forced to do something against oversupply and to give more visibility to sandboxed images that could have potential but have been buried for whatever reason.

i'm curious to see how this will translate in the real world, in my opinion it could be very good for some contributors and disastrous for others.

besides, it could be a total fiasco as Fotolia's theory is that if an image never sells is because it's too pricey or not on par with similar images at the same price.

so, we will see but in my opinion if a photo never sold once is because there's either zero demand for that or it looks good enough but not as good as the other similars, or finally it just su-cks and nobody would buy it even as a gift !

278
General Stock Discussion / Re: I Think I'm Done
« on: July 19, 2013, 20:11 »
Look at all of the people giving their work away as Creative Commons. Tell them, "hey not only will we let you give your work away, we'll even pay you 10 or 15 cents for ever download!" And I guarantee there will be a ton of people who think it is a great deal. Ever lower commissions for higher standards, just for the privilege of possibly having one of your images used in an advertisement someday. How exciting!  :P

so far it's not happening, also because of the CC licence itself imposing idiotic limitations on commercial use and allowing the author to even change the licence retroactively.

from what i see amateurs are more prone to sell prints for 10-20$ rather than digital downloads for a pittance.

there are some diamonds in the rough on sites like 500px, flickr, instagram but recently i wasted a few hours browsing some stuff about the city where i'm living now and i was flooded by cr-ap i don't want to ever see again, now i see why Getty's flickr experiment turned out to be a waste of time, even for top travel destination you can easily be facing 1 good image vs 200 absolute trash images, what would be the outcome if each one of these photos had a "buy" button for 1$ ? and it seems the authors are also quite proud of their cr-ap snaps, they would complain the price is too cheap, go figure ! that;s what they did with getty paying decent fees actually.



279
Bloggers here, in DK sometimes pay for photos, and many are quite observant of where they get them from.

There has been a few copyright claims and the knowledge has spread in the environment.

A commonly spread misunderstanding is that its free to use photos if your blog is not commercial, but you have to pay if you earn money.

yeah because they've read about the so called "Fair Use" but they fail to realize it only applies to the USA.
it's a disgrace that people is allowed to blog, i love the chinese model where you need a licence by the state.

280
there's also a lot of "being in the right place at the right time" to factor into what we do. I'd like to hope that gives many of us an edge.

and what about accomodation and meals ? if you work for yourself you can travel on a tight budget and eat junk food but who would work for a company that let you sleep in a 1-star hotel and eat at mcdonalds ?

same for transportation, will they fly you first class or give you third class train tickets ?

281
Who would use this to buy? Professional media buyers already complain about sifting through garbage. Bloggers? Teachers?

forget about bloggers, even the top ones never paid a dime, see the crooks at BoingBoing or TechCrunch.

years ago i even wrote to a Tech Crunch editor, 100% of their images were stolen from google images, i sent them a list with links to the original images, they wrote me with a funny tone that they were thinking it was "public domain" or "fair use" and thanks for all the chips !


282
General Stock Discussion / Re: Yuri Arcurs beginning
« on: July 18, 2013, 12:39 »
Don't we already have a thread here discussing his $2 an hour or something African interns?

that's a lot of money anyway.

in Vietnam i've seen people doing office jobs earning 150-200$ at most and they were using computers with MS Office and all.

i guess a decent photoshop retoucher could get away with 200-250$/month all inclusive, or 3-400$ if he's really top notch.

283
Scoopt wasn't a failure for the people who started and invested in it before it was sold to Getty for big bucks.

exactly ! as a startup it was a success.
their goal is to find a buyer, not to make actual money, it's like a Ponzi.

284
I come across this all the time, except they something think I can magically transform their ordinary staff member to look like Yuri's Emma, cos I'm using an expensive camera that takes good photos.

the irony is a good camera with a sharp lens could actually enhance skin imperfections, spots, scars, yellow teeth, and make the staff looking even uglier, i've read the same complaints about porn actors some time ago regarding the use of HD videocameras.


285
Xanox, you need to separate out the prospects for the agencies from the prospects for the suppliers. Neither RM nor microstock is going to die. The companies we supply will continuing licensing images to designers who need them and accumulating mountains of cash. But that doesn't mean that the artists supplying the images will get good money. It all depends on how big the supply becomes and what happens to prices.  Of course, if you've got a monopoly on stock images of Marilyn Monroe  then you're made, regardless, because there will always be demand for that. But travel photos are a different matter. You run the risk of being a victim of dilution as other people add pictures of places you've been to, however obscure they may be.

well, it's gotta be very hard to make your own private monopoly in a travel niche.

there are certainly some cities that sell a lot more than others, Paris, Venice, New York, London, just to name a few, but there are literally millions of images already on sale about that, even if you specialize on it and you live for instance in Paris for years there's no guarantee you can make a living just with that and besides most of the stuff will be more about Street photography than proper Travel photography.

while some lucky guys who made hundreds of photos of the Beatles and Rolling Stones are still selling like hot cakes today for all the others it's not so easy, celebrities come and go, and the evergreens are just a few dozens.

the point is always the same, why should agencies ever have a reason to raise our fees ? what do they get back from being fair with us ?

i can't see any way for single photographers to negotiate better deals nowadays, either you're an agency or an image factory or you're one of the few cases who can dominate a niche (say, aerial photography and other expensive stuff), for anything else the only option is to accept we're just plebeians in their eyes and why it should be otherwise if our sales make barely the 0.00001% of their total ?




286
General Stock Discussion / Re: Yuri Arcurs beginning
« on: July 17, 2013, 23:47 »
Yep, wish I had bought their stock during their IPO.  Doubled in under a year  :o

But even with an LLC, the tax on profits still affects the owners rather than the corporation.

The beauty in living in a country like Moldova is the tax treaty whereby you only pay 10% to the Moldavian country and none of the outrageous 30% you would pay to the U.S.

well, if you think 30% is outrageous try some european countries where it's up to 45% and in plus the services provided are sh-ite.

287
Unfortunately you are wrong on both counts. Both micro and RM markets are governed by the laws of supply and demand. Over-supply will continue to outstrip the growth in demand in both markets for the foreseeable future ... probably forever. Both markets have probably peaked for all but the newest of contributors. RM has been in severe decline for years and most likely that will continue, even for your obscure niche subjects.

RM will never die, all the archival images are only available in RM agencies, and so pretty much any kind of stuff that doesnt have the typical micro look.

and what about celebrities ? that's either getty or rex features, not micros !

what will become harder is for people with small portfolio to make sales or even get noticed in the sea of new images.

in my opinion you cannot stay afloat and relax in RM without at least 10-30K images on sale.
and yet plenty of guys expect to get rich with 500 well edited images.

that could work on Getty for a while but it won't last long, the turnover of new stuff added every month is impressive, in the end quantity is becoming THE factor rather than absolute quality or uniqueness.

i don't give a sh-it about my obscure subject, it's only cr-ap i dump on Alamy as that's the only agency where there's a demand for it but i could never survive just with unconventional stuff and it's also a pain in the a-ss to keyword.

the markets have not peaked at all, the industry is getting bigger not smaller, the issue is for us .. is the party over or there's a chance to stay afloat in the future ? i'm not very positive about it but i can tell you i don't see any drop in sales since a long time, just the usual seasonal ups and downs.






288
well i dont mean really obscure stuff, it happens sometimes but most of my stuff is about travel and my best sellers are still people, lifestyle, and markets.

as for Alamy, i written too much against them already and i rest my case about their creative collection being a joke from top to bottom.

289
It is a problem for RM because while the subjects may be infinite the amount being spent is not. If the RM collections treble in size and the spend is unchanged then the RPI will drop by two-thirds.

in my opinion the trend in RM will be about being more picky or offering "creative collections", that's the new alamy's strategy for example, a creative side for pro photographers and a generic "editorial" side for the many others who use alamy as a dump (and they're many !).

RPI : that's not an important factor in RM as it is for micros, what matters are the monthly sales and despite all the bad news we read here they're pretty stable in the RM world, those who suffered most were the ones shooting subjects that now are top sellers on micro RF but it seems the agencies recovered pretty well, it's you guys having this blind belief that price is THE factor, that's certainly true for cheap designers and their cheap customers but in the rest of the world buyers see nothing wrong paying at least 50 bucks for a picture they need.

290
Exactly. The problem is always going to be worse for RM. As the quality and quantity of micro continues to increase then so they will also take an ever-increasing share of the total money spent on stock imagery.

the limit of microstock is it can only be profitable and sustainable with selling a cheap image many times.
and therefore this is possible only with mainstream subjects.

but the mainstream (or "low hanging fruits") subjects are not infinite !
as you can see all the niches are already saturated and because of the restrictions imposed by agencies and by the RF licence itself there's a ton of good subjects that will never make it to micros and will be only available as RM or editorial.

micro's perimeter of action is very small actually and not all the niches are taken.
do you see any solution for that ? i don't.
and unless they dump half of their archive into an even cheaper separate colletion the situation will only go worse for suppliers.

on the other side it will take 100 yrs before the same phenomenon applies to RM.
i agree you aint making money anymore with pics of the Tour Eiffel on RM but apart the top-selling destinations and places anything else is still ready to be covered in depth, many of my RM sales are about obscure subjects i've no idea why and how they will be used but they would never be found on IS or SS and that's the point.

291
General Stock Discussion / Re: I Think I'm Done
« on: July 17, 2013, 09:06 »
Great post. However, there is a significant difference between many Musicians and Writers and MS Photographers: Many people who write or make Music want to express themselves, show something special, create something unique (not all though lol), while MS photographers create boring but technical perfect content which is specialized for this kind of commerce. Wanna say: If MS isn`t worth the production anymore, most photographers return on shooting what they love, not what the market demands, and this may dry out the industry.

i see no reason for the industry to dry up anytime soon.

by opposite i see opportunities for the industry to get bigger and expand its tentacles in some asian markets but it could take a long time for that considering the abysmal attitude towards copyright and licencing in places like china in particular.

for RF the oversaturation will reach levels that will make it next to impossible for contributors to stay afloat unless they find a way to cut costs dramatically and to double or triple their portfolios.

for RM it's stable as ever, a few up and downs but as an industry it will never die because you just can't find the RM images sold as RF or micro RF ! and good luck browsing Flickr or google images if you need a specific hard to find image, buyers will either pay a fair price or shut the F up as they deserve.

microstockers : yes but they've nowhere to hide at this point.
they specialized and invested in a type of imagery that nowadays is worth a couple dollars at most.
of course they can U-turn and become good wedding photographers or join a newspaper or whatever, but how many will make it ?

i see too much perfectionism in microstockers, people taking 10 years to get a 5000 images portfolio, and now suddenly they're crashing and burning and suffering big losses as they bet the farm on istock.

well, we told you so !
but neither i've any magic solution for that, the only clear pattern is that you need a big portfolio to make a living in stock, no matter if RF or RM.

too many think it's all about quality but this will make them very vulnerable to the oversaturation factor and to sudden changes in search algorithms.

yeah there are dudes with 300 photos selling like hot cakes, but their biz can be wiped out overnight if the agencies adds new features or relegates you images into a second tier collection, see Alamy for example.

music : i think as a biz it's focked, even labels have a hard time, but DJs and live performers have never made so much easy money like today, no idea how long the party will last however.

as much as in the past everyone was complaining that gigs were too expensive, well what about today then ? i see awful bands asking 100$ entrance tickets and their shows are packed.

on the other side even asking a meagre 0.99$ to download one of their song is considered "too expensive" by the crowd of freeloaders.

ok, so bands will do it all alone and give away their music online as if it was a marketing tool ? but who will produce the songs actually ? what about the indie labels ? who will filter the sh-it out ? who will have any interest to promote an artist ? it's the same here in asia where everything is openly pirated and sold in the street and artists starve with live gigs and tv shows ... great if you're into mainstream music but for anything else it's just a hobby and in fact most of their music is trash copied or inspired from western hits, no space and no money left for any experimentation or avantgarde, a few places in the big cities yeah but just because they make live gigs but if we talk about studio albums forget it that's only for established bands backed by a major, the indies are relagated to the rock bottom much more than in europe where at least they can still publish with a few small labels.

i mean there's more money joining an itinerant philipino cover band than doing non-mainstream music in asia, that's the future waiting for the west too as soon as piracy will finally kill what's left of the industry.


292
General Stock Discussion / Re: I Think I'm Done
« on: July 17, 2013, 08:40 »
Xanox, writing books almost always starts as a hobby, but there are other forms of writing that you can make money from. Same with photography. And when you talk of stock photographers being "creatives", we're about as creative as an advertising copy-writer or political speech writer. One or two may stand out as having real creativity and flair, most are just workmanlike.  That's the problem, the bulk of stock photography is easily copied and sometimes better than the original. Even the very best microstockers are just exceptionally good and hardworking technicians, they are not great creative artists, we don't have any Leonardo da Vincis,  or Jane Austens among our ranks or, as Tror rightly points out, if there are then they aren't using their creativity in this field.

Let's remember that neither stock nor microstock were created with the intention of creating full-time jobs for photographers. Stock started as a way for photographers to make a bit of extra cash from stuff they happened to have left over from jobs. Microstock began as a swap-shop for designers. Maybe they are drifting back to their roots.

yeah, it's only incidentally that stock agencies allowed a bunch of pros to become full time stockers but it's still in their interest to deal with a small number of trusted suppliers rather than messing with an army of random snappers with their canon rebel.

i'm sure istock could pretty much stay afloat even just hiring their top 50 sellers and close the doors, who needs 300K amateurs with a portfolio of 20-30 images of their dog ?

this is still a multi billion industry, it's disgusting that it's been ruined in such way.
the billions are still there to be made, but someone had the awful idea of doing it micro style and making a big horrible mess for all.

indeed it's not art or whatever, but it never had such pretentiousness, and for sure i've seen some creative images on stock that beat plenty of "fine art" sh-it hands down.

293
true true, imho Yuri probably invested in an upcoming 'magic IPO' or something similar. But the sucker is more likely to be a poor sucker... these magic IPOs are avoided by institutional investors (except the insiders of course).

everything is saleable today, even crap like Wikitravel was sold for 1.7 millions and now it's worthless and the same company also bought Route66, another disgrace.

and these were not even e-commerce sites, they just were content farms with wiki volunteers producing the content for free and the site showing ads.

a site like yuri's it's a full fledge social e-commerce site and therefore it can easily be perceived as worth 5-10 million $ if we use the crazy VC's metric system.

how's that any different from cr-ap like Fiverr ?


294
if you think saturation is bad today wait 2-3 yrs when the images on sale will be 30-40 millions.

this is no problem for RM as the variety of subject is pretty much infinite but it's THE problem for RF micro, who needs another  million photos of shaking hands and smiling businessmen ? not the frustrated buyers, i guess.





295
Maybe the 1.2 million will go into things such as model releases...a digital model/property release within the app...maybe some editing functionality to remove logos...who knows.

startups are NOT supposed to make real money, their goal is to be sold to a rich suc-ker in no more than 2-3 yrs, that's how it works with VCs.

if yuri invested 1 million he plans to get 2-3 millions back, simple as that, every VC does that, it pays well because of the high risk involved (up to 90% of the startups miserably fail or never find a buyer).

look at Demotix, same sh-it, and finally they sold it to Corbis, but do they ever made a profit ? i doubt so.




296
General Stock Discussion / Re: I Think I'm Done
« on: July 17, 2013, 03:31 »
There are 20 new agencies popping up already that nobody cares about. What boggles my mind is that nobody is really trying it. You have Stocksy, SS's new project and some illustration sites, but not a whole lot beyond that. If contributors want it, why isn't somebody building it?

they don't have money and/or ideas to compete.

their cost to acquire a single buyer is too high compared to the top agencies as they're not backed by a famous brand and they are failing to set themselves apart by offering a unique service or a substancial cost advantage.

simples as that !

it took 20 yrs for brands like Samsung to reach the place they deserve now, and what about KIA, Huawei, Lenovo, Acer .. all these companies were absolutely unknown not long ago.

is Samyang the next Nikon ? we'll see .. but in the meantime it's considered rubbish (wrong, but go tell buyers..) and they will need to spend a sh-itload of money before being perceived at least on par with Tamron, let alone canon or nikon.

producing a product is easy, selling is VERY hard ! that's the hard truth in any business.
i could start selling my worst stock images at 1000$ a pop, but i would probably spend 999$ to find the only crazy buyer willing to pay for it.




297
General Stock Discussion / Re: I Think I'm Done
« on: July 17, 2013, 03:24 »
I think you need to put at least some of the blame back onto the pro stock photogs who decided to upload high quality images for a very low return per image. No one asked those guys to raise the quality bar

actually photo editors and buyers did.

it was a different era, even journalists were paid a sh-itload of money to write dull articles any blogger could do better nowadays, and they also had people doing editing and spellchecking.

it's all gone down the drain now, yeah it was crazy how much expensive it was but now we switched to another extreme where even photo editors have been booted out and replaced by bloggers with iphones, volunteers, and images stolen from the web.

all i can say is that now it's a buyer's dream and it can't last forever, we must reach a sort of compromise before or later.


298
General Stock Discussion / Re: I Think I'm Done
« on: July 17, 2013, 03:14 »
Won't work, Xanox.  If all the microstock agencies in the world got together tonight and created an entry barrier and push up prices, then tomorrow there would be 20 new agencies pop up to grab all the material that was being pushed away and sell it cheaply. That was what created iStock and the moment it showed there was a niche DT, Canstock and SS sprang into being to grab a slice of the action.

The iStock model, where you don't pay the supplier of goods until months after you have sold them, while the purchaser pays you weeks before they take delivery was a stroke of utter business genius. It made it very difficult not to make money or to run into cash flow problems - your customers became your financial backers without even knowing it.  So anyone can set up one of these operations as soon as they notice that people are trying to mess with the market, push people out of it and charge more than the minimum.  That's the reality. You can't bring the 1990s back again.

Yes, there is a minimum production cost. But if the cumulative average earnings of the images significantly exceed it, then you're basically OK. I've got pictures that have clocked up more than $1,000 in pennies here and there. I suppose that on average each of my images has made $40-$50 and rising (some of them make nothing at all). And I spend hardly anything to create them. Maybe $20,000 on equipment over 10 years. So, it works.

Asian producers won't supplant western ones in the end. The models don't look Western so they won't meet Western market demand. The goods and food aren't Western. I live in the east and my pictures don't sell particularly well in the US, they do sell in Europe and Asia.  If first-world photographers do stop producing, then the prices will have to rise to pull them back again.

I think that the return has now dropped to the level that may well keep new producers out. I've been arguing for about eight years that at some point the return per image will become so low that anybody who isn't already established will just give up. I suspect that we are about there (looking at the $5 iStock has made me on 60 images over the last six months).

well, it takes millions in marketing to launch a new agency and to acquire new buyers.
it's easier if you're the only bloke in the market and you've little or no competition like IS years ago, but nowadays the market is saturated, new small agencies are dime a dozen and as you can see they're going nowhere, even FT and DT are not doing well and they're supposed to have money and being backed by rich investors and yet they still can't compete with SS.

same for Stocksy as i predicted from day one.

to clone the booming success of IS in its early days you would need the same ingredients : either selling products for 1/10th of the competition or providing a solution that it's 10 times better at the same price.

but i can't see a single way to go anywhere near both scenarios, everything has been tried already, any kind of sh-it has been throw at the wall and not much sticked, it's always about rock bottom prices and unfair fees, same situation we can see in music and other creative fields actually.

if there ever was a magic idea someone would be a billionaire by now but instead all we have is SS's founder or Yuri and his clones.

i mean the moral of this story is that SS's founder who just cloned someone else business model made 10 or 20x times more money than the IS founder.

as they always say, ideas are worthless, execution is king !

anyway, yes nobody can bring the '90s back again, but a sort of midstock has certainly reason to exist and its place in the market, not to mention the disasters caused by the RF licence.

asians : agree but there are many niches where they could do fine, i think they just dont know that stock is an option for photographers, they could do well even with travel images alone, think about places like Thailand or Japan, but so few asians travel a lot and in any case they don't have the english skills to do proper keywording, same reason for why there's not a boom of asian writers doing books in english or asians going into written-english journalism.

production costs : yes and as i said we're still having it a lot better than in other creative fields, but i'm scared about the future as there's nothing stopping agencies to reach the point where producing stock is no more profitable for artists, see in the book publishing industry for example where it's taken for granted that only the best selling guys can stay afloat and anybody else (99% ?) is condemned to make peanuts or beer money from spending months doing a book.

so writers know from the starts it's gotta be just a hobby, next it will be musicians' turn, and next .. photographers ? who knows .. if the trends keeps going on yeah this is the future waiting for pretty much any digital artist and good luck saying "adapt or die", the buyers and the agencies owe us nothing !




299
General Stock Discussion / Re: I Think I'm Done
« on: July 17, 2013, 00:08 »
Because there isn't an available niche for them to slide into. But  Xanox wants to create that niche by raising prices and excluding photographers from selling - basically taking us right back to 2004.

exactly because they're niches they should ask more money, that's what happens in pretty much any other industry.

only mainstream products are doomed to be low-cost forever.

300
General Stock Discussion / Re: I Think I'm Done
« on: July 16, 2013, 23:23 »
Because there isn't an available niche for them to slide into. But  Xanox wants to create that niche by raising prices and excluding photographers from selling - basically taking us right back to 2004.

if you want higher prices, just ask for it.
that's what marketers always did !

the finest example is the Vetta collection, same cr-ap but at a premium price.



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