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Messages - hatman12
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501
« on: January 28, 2008, 19:31 »
Well it looks like a Nikon D60, 10.2mp with knobs and whistles is coming....
I'd like a D3 junior, but I think that won't be launched until next year.
502
« on: January 27, 2008, 15:02 »
41 downloads in the set so far, after being on sale for three weeks or so.
Despite the negatives, the set is making money.
503
« on: January 27, 2008, 06:48 »
Sensovision, you need to buy a new camera.
504
« on: January 27, 2008, 06:47 »
WHOA! Let's try to be positive please peeps...
Yes, I agree with all the comments. Yes, the composition of many of these pictures leaves much to be desired (and I certainly wouldn't want my name associated with them). Yes, the quality appears to be poor, with stray arms and legs everywhere, bad lighting and even umbrellas and reflectors visible.
BUT (and it's a big BUT)..... at least dotshock has made an EFFORT; he's gained access to a gym, organised six girls to do the modelling, shipped all his lighting kit there, and then spent three hours and countless days trying to produce a professional quality set of truly stock images. That's a lot of thought and effort, so for that he gets 100% brownie marks.
The set isn't going to sell well, and in due course dotshock will be asking himself all the right questions.
But at least he's TRIED, and from that he'll learn important lessons.
505
« on: January 26, 2008, 18:34 »
Lower than most people think, sharpshot. The last 'official' numbers I saw were that 28% of photographers are exclusive, and 40% of content. In other words 60% of content is non-exclusive.
506
« on: January 26, 2008, 17:12 »
I'm not convinved that there is an increasing 'bias towards exclusives'. Yes, of course the exclusives are going to get preferential treatment, and they deserve to do so.
The 'disappointments' expressed by Yuri and Lisa and others, with stagnant or declining sales and income, is probably nothing other than 'dilution'.
Istock's library has increased in size by 100% over the past year. Any photographer who has NOT increased their portfolio by the same percentage will be getting reduced exposure.
Lisa, you say you've increased your portfolio by 50%, so it's axiomatic that your exposure is diluted by 25% which is very close to your reduction in sales. With 1 million new images being added each year, you are going to have to add 1,000 pictures in the coming year just to 'stand still'.
The same goes for all of us. Of course it is easier to keep a small portfolio 'ahead of the game', but with a large portfolio it is possible to reach a point where sales and income simply cannot 'grow'.
This dilution effect defines the maximum revenue available to any contributor.
I follow Hidesy's portfolio with interest simply because I have met her and her advice prompted me to start contributing to microstock a year ago; her portfolio has increased from 7,000 images to 10,000 over the last year but her monthly downloads have not improved (and appear to be in decline), so even a black diamond exclusive will hit a ceiling eventually.
This, incidentally, is also probably why Yuri's income has stopped increasing.
507
« on: January 26, 2008, 16:28 »
I just did a search for 'seminar' using Best Match, and Yuri gets five results in the first 100 whereas Lise gets only 1. Andrew Johnson (exclusive) gets 8.
508
« on: January 24, 2008, 23:36 »
Yes, you're right there sharpshot. At present the 5D appears to be the 'perfect' instrument for microstock in terms of quality and price.
I don't think it makes any sense to go beyond that, unless one wants to contribute to the RM agencies of course which is a different kettle of fish.
I certainly don't think Yuri's strategy of changing to Hasselblad makes any sense at all for microstock.
If Nikon launch a '5D equivalent' I'd buy it immediately, but the prospect of that looks like being a year or more away.
509
« on: January 24, 2008, 18:31 »
With the announcements of 12mp and 14mp from Pentax, 14mp from Samsung, the new 12mp Canon etc etc it seems that 12mp will shortly be the starting point for DSLRs.
I have considered changing my D200 for a D300 or D2Xs, but at 12mp only, these cameras now look very expensive compared to the new competition.
No doubt Nikon and Sony will have their own announcements at PMA, and there are already rumours of a 14mp model from Nikon and possibly a high speed D3 to come before the Olympics.
So I'll stay with my D200 for a while and see what happens.
510
« on: January 24, 2008, 18:25 »
Under iStock's present 'best match' system, a non-exclusive is limited to four pictures in the first 100 results of a search, whereas an exclusive is entitled to eight.
After the first 100 search results both non-exclusives and exclusives have the same 'chance'.
This system gives exclusives 100% more 'exposure' in the first 100 results of any search.
Whether this results in an improvement in sales depends very much on the commercial viability or otherwise of each individual portfolio, which is why some photographers will see an immediate improvement and others will not.
511
« on: January 22, 2008, 02:52 »
Relatively speaking, Snapvillage is likely to be a big disappointment IMO. I know others will have a different view.
By Relatively, I mean relative to the potential of Corbis; SV isn't a small startup funded by limited venture capital - it's Corbis. And by that measure I think it's been amateurish, shoestring, toe-in-the-water and a massive disappointment.
It appears to be managed by people who have no understanding of the microstock business (or even of the stock business); they didn't understand the need for IPTC (until pressured by contributors) or for a decent watermark (once again under pressure). Their keywording department is rubbish and appears to be staffed by people with no previous knowledge of keywords or categories or their importance.
There is a big play on the 'snappiest' search algorithm, which is touted as being 'sophisticated and unique', but actually doesn't exist (and six nearly six months after launch still doesn't exist).
And the 'old school, head in the sand' attitude is underlined by the ridiculous 45 day wait for commission payments.
SV is run by people who seem to think that microstockers are people who run around taking poor quality snaps with mobile phones. Yes, it will make sales due to the huge Corbis customer base, but I don't think it will realise a tenth of its potential until they get real and change the management.
512
« on: January 19, 2008, 03:19 »
Mark, be careful not to confuse Megapixels with Megabytes.
513
« on: January 18, 2008, 21:00 »
Steve has made an announcement on the StockXpert forum that the ratings system will soon be discontinued. This is a good thing IMHO.
514
« on: January 18, 2008, 19:43 »
Same problem here. Must be a systems thing.
515
« on: January 18, 2008, 19:19 »
China is the next great bull market.
...reminds me a lot of the 1920s.
Well, we agree on something. Back to Microstock...
516
« on: January 18, 2008, 18:13 »
A very good book sharpshot, and worth reading several times. Sadly I believe he ended up blowing out his brains in a public toilet, which just goes to show that owning a mansion with a 50ft yacht parked outside doesn't necessarily bring happiness.
Ichiro I can assure you that I never make any comments nowadays without thinking things through thoroughly. And certainly not when it comes to financial markets.
It is a matter of degree and interpretation, as I'm sure you will agree. YingYang would have us believe that most bear markets are short and sharp. I suppose it depends on how you define a bear market. Technicians will tell you that a bear market is a drop of 20% or more. Others will quote the peak to trough prices.
A different view is 'how long does it take to recover one's losses' and if you study financial history on this basis you will get a different picture.
Imagine that a man has $500,000 in his pension fund in 1969/72 and is looking forward to a comfortable retirement. By 1975 his fund has fallen to $250,000 ($150,000 if invested in the UK at the time) and his enjoyable retirement is destroyed. YingYang tells him the bear market has 'ended', but for that man the bear market will only end when he recovers his loss, and that is something completely different.
50c does not buy a dollar. Only a dollar buys a dollar.
If you examine history on the basis of how long bear markets took to regain previous losses you will see what I mean. Is the Nasdaq in a bull market from the lows of 2003, or is it still down 60% from the top? Is the glass still half empty? It depends on your point of view.
Sharpshot I have not called a top to this market. Indeed I believe we have a higher peak to come in the period 2010/12 (probably 2012). But in the final distribution phase of a long bull market the majority of stocks start to fall well before the final peak in the indices. Not all assets peak at the same time. It is likely that Banks, Brokers and property have already peaked, but that doesn't mean the indices cannot make new highs. It does mean that more people are losing money than making money. What we are seeing now in financial markets is just a hint of bigger problems to come (this is my view, lunacy or not).
Has anyone seen the news that Jim Rogers has left America, sold all his assets and moved to Singapore? Is he a lunatic? Or simply one of the most astute money managers of modern times.......
517
« on: January 18, 2008, 16:20 »
Thank you for your comments Yingyang. Just because my view differs from yours doesn't mean that I am a lunatic. A man with your knowledge and experience should know better than that and refrain from such comments.
For your information, before moving to start a new life here in Australia, I spent twenty years working as a Fund Manager responsible for managing large sums of money in global equity markets. As part of my work I studied the history of financial trends going back hundreds of years. I have appeared as a guest on CNN, Bloomberg Television and BBC many times and my views and observations have been published in the world's financial press more times than I can remember.
Please don't assume that just because you disagree with my comments I lack sufficient knowledge.
518
« on: January 17, 2008, 14:16 »
"As time passes your investment dividends will keep multiplying. By the time you reach your 40's or 50's, you will be financially set for life.
Like I said I don't know what your future plans are, but I've started to invest early. It's amazing to see an initial $10,000 USD investment grow to over 60 million dollars over 70 years at places like Edward Jones and such."
This is very unlikely. VERY unlikely. The US stock market is approaching a peak in a long bull market that started way back in 1906. All the impressive numbers put out by marketing people are based on a bull market that will NOT be sustained. The cracks are already showing by the sub prime problems, which are only the tip of the iceberg.
In a long bull market spanning generations, people forget the true realties and live life with their heads buried in sand.
Haven't you noticed the Japanese market? Peaked in 1990 at 39,000 and now, nearly twenty years later, it is still down at 14,000. It is not likely to regain that 39,000 peak for at least another twenty years, perhaps longer.
Financial markets can have very long periods of zero or negative returns, and people have forgotten that. There is a rude awakening coming, and has already started.
Historically, periods of fifty or sixty years of zero returns in stock markets are not uncommon.
519
« on: January 14, 2008, 23:55 »
Mark, the downloaded page distinguishes between credit sales and subscription sales. By default it shows subscription sales. Somewhere up on the right hand side you will see the words subscription and credits - click on the credits link and it will show your credits sales.
520
« on: January 06, 2008, 21:17 »
I'm not convinced that a 5% reduction in revenue over the last four months is yet a 'trend'. The last three months have seen a big shift to seasonal images, and as far as I'm aware you don't have those in your portfolio Yuri (except the disco/gig series).
People with a big seasonal emphasis in their portfolios will see a drop in the next three or four months, so their experience will be the opposite.
I agree that subscriptions (at these prices) devalue a photographers work and are not good for the long term.
I don't think Microstock has reached saturation (in fact I think it is still in its infancy), but it is possible for a photographer to reach saturation, as sharply suggests.
I noticed recently that Hidesy (at iStock) has just uploaded her 10,000th image. A year ago she had 7,000. But she still seems to be selling about 8/12,000 pictures a month, so although she's increased her portfolio by nearly 50% her sales over the past year appear to have stagnated. It's possible that as she now uploads new work, her work of four years ago has become 'old' and drops out of the equation.
The same thing might be happening to you Yuri; the whole world is aware of your move to Hassleblad, and buyers 'might' prefer to buy those new images instead of your older ones, so you are 'working to stand still' (but at higher costs). Sometimes publicity doesn't help the bottom line.
The good thing is that microstock prices are continuing to rise at 20% per annum or more, and I expect that to continue for the next five years, so even if sales remain constant, income should rise.
A photographer of your quality and experience Yuri should be taking on bespoke corporate client projects in the $150,000 and above budget range.
521
« on: January 05, 2008, 18:05 »
For the same reason, sharpshot, that you might occasionally buy a tin of paint from a corner DIY shop in Honiton (or wherever is closest). You know you are paying a couple of Pounds more, but you buy it there anyway because it happens to be convenient and you haven't got time to go on a long trek to Homebase.
The problem is that Dulux won't allow that corner shop to buy its supplies at the same discount bulk prices gotten by Homebase, so the shop has to charge higher prices to try to get a profit margin. That, and the fact that it cannot sell in volume.
The corner shop will always be a corner shop because if it tries to reduce prices to compete it will go bust. So it cannot grow because customers never shop there in volume.
Dulux probably supplies its paints to Homebase at a significantly reduced price and at much lower sales margins, but it does so because it knows that VOLUME is more important than PRICE.
All that will happen is that more and more corner shops go bust and more and more of the market is captured by Homebase.
This of course is why England now lacks many local village Butchers and Fishmongers.
We can try to stop the rot by buying more stuff at local shops and paying higher prices. But sadly most customers won't do that. And the local shops can't reduce prices because they don't have the volume. And if their suppliers demand a high percentage of sales margin and encourage lower prices, they will go bust anyway.
I'm afraid that as a SUPPLIER, I want as many of my products on the shelves at Homebase and Marks and Spencer. Yes, I know they will screw me on price, but they have millions of customers whereas the corner shop does not.
522
« on: January 05, 2008, 15:40 »
Well everyone has their own opinion, and that's fine.
My opinion, FWIW, is that undercutting prices and then taking 70% isn't 'supporting' Featurepics at all; what it's doing, if anything, is screwing them into the ground.
If people genuinely want to see Featurepics succeed, the only way of doing so is to charge higher prices so that FP gets at least some sort of decent income from each sale. At lower prices, FP is left with 30% of 'not a lot' and after the costs of web site, technology, servers, wages etc, there is probably nothing left for 'marketing and development'.
523
« on: January 05, 2008, 01:29 »
Umm... if I understand what you are saying, it seems that you have gone to Featurepics, an agency that lets you set your own prices, then you've priced your images BELOW the usual prices at the other agencies. Surely that defeats the entire object.
524
« on: January 04, 2008, 17:52 »
Good decision Dan.
525
« on: January 03, 2008, 21:35 »
Personally I would question the business sense of anyone who decides to launch a professional stock image site and call it 'gecko'.
I can understand the reasoning behind 'pro', 'big', 'xpert' etc. But 'gecko'?
Even worse is that there appears to be TWO of them........
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